Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AS Roma vs AC Milan, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2020-21
1 – 2
Full Time
Sun 28 Feb 2021 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico HT 45+4' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Olimpico.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Guida
  • Referee Massimiliano Irrati
  • Referee Marco Piccinini
  • Referee Daniele Bindoni
  • Referee Salvatore Longo
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 11.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb AC Milan H 1–2 L
25 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga H 3–1 W
21 Feb Benevento Calcio A 0–0 D
18 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–0 W
14 Feb Udinese Calcio H 3–0 W
06 Feb Juventus FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb AS Roma A 2–1 W
25 Feb FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–1 D
21 Feb FC Internazionale Milano H 0–3 L
18 Feb FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–2 D
13 Feb Spezia Calcio A 0–2 L
07 Feb FC Crotone H 4–0 W

Season Stats

AS Roma AC Milan
#1 Position #5
13 Points 11
5 Played 5
4 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
14 Scored 10
3 Conceded 4
+11 GD +6
2.60 PPG 2.20
80% Win % 60%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

AS Roma are 1st (13 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AS Roma launch into their encounter with AC Milan.
  • 5' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Pedro, a Spain right winger, has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. AS Roma in their trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact .
  • 20' Hakan Calhanoglu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' AS Roma are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Federico Fazio. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 43' Franck Kessie adds to his 1 season tally! AC Milan lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 46' Controversy at the stadium! Alexis Saelemaekers argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 46' Brahim Diaz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Hakan Calhanoglu at the 46 minute mark.
  • 50' What an equalizer from Jordan Veretout!
  • 55' A quiet spell here at Stadio Olimpico. AS Roma seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' Rafael Leao is replacing Zlatan Ibrahimovic for the AC Milan side.
  • 58' Goal! Ante Rebic scores his 48 goal in 169 matches.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for Bruno Peres. He replaces Federico Fazio on 62 minute.
  • 67' Rade Krunic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ante Rebic at the 67 minute mark.
  • 70' Stephan El Shaarawy is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gonzalo Villar at the 70 minute mark.
  • 75' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paulo Fonseca will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 79' Pedro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Borja Mayoral at the 79 minute mark.
  • 80' That is a Yellow card for AS Roma. Henrikh Mkhitaryan will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' The crowd applauds Sandro Tonali as he leaves the pitch. Soualiho Meite steps in for AC Milan.
  • 85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Davide Calabria.
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lorenzo Pellegrini.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Samu Castillejo on 90 minutes.
  • AC Milan celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.76 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AS Roma46% Draw27% AC Milan27%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
73%
Draw or AC Milan
54%
AS Roma or AC Milan
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Roma36% Draw44% AC Milan20%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.