AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Michael Fabbri
- Referee Piero Giacomelli
- Referee Luigi Nasca
- Referee Sergio Ranghetti
- Referee Lucas Mondin
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 2.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | AS Roma | H | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Oct | Celtic FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Oct | Spezia Calcio | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Rio Ave FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | FC Crotone | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct | AC Milan | A | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Oct | BSC Young Boys | A | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | Benevento Calcio | H | 5–2 | W |
| 03 Oct | Udinese Calcio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | Juventus FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | Hellas Verona FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 24 | Points | 27 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 8 / 3 / 0 |
| 23 | Scored | 31 |
| 13 | Conceded | 10 |
| +10 | GD | +21 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 2.45 |
| 64% | Win % | 73% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
55%
Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
AS Roma this season
AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Roma
0-15
4/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/–
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/–
76+
8/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
AS Roma
| Donyell Malen | 8 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Mora | 4 G | |
| Matias Soule | 3 G | 3 A |
| Niccolo Pisilli | 3 G | |
| Mario Hermoso | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. AC Milan host AS Roma — let the battle begin!
- 2' Brilliant from the ! Zlatan Ibrahimovic makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 2.
- 7' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 12' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 14' Goal! Edin Dzeko scores his 95 goal in 542 matches.
- 19' Italy international Marash Kumbulla has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 24' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and AS Roma are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 29' AS Roma are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 34' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 44' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ciprian Tatarusanu made 438 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 47' GOAL! Alexis Saelemaekers scores on 47.
- 52' Lorenzo Pellegrini, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 57' Davide Calabria has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 530 appearances.
- 62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 530 games and scored 627 goals.
- 66' Time for substitution for AS Roma. Rick Karsdorp is replaced by Bruno Peres.
- 70' Poor challenge from Rafael Leao. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 71' GOAL! Jordan Veretout fires home to make it 2-2!
- 72' Samu Castillejo gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Rafael Leao and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 76' Bryan Cristante gets the nod from AS Roma. He replaces Lorenzo Pellegrini and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' It’s a booking for AS Roma player. Pedro gets a Yellow card.
- 79' The Sweden Zlatan Ibrahimovic breaks the deadlock on 79 minutes. 3-2!
- 81' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Bryan Cristante on 81 minutes.
- 82' Theo Hernandez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 82.
- 84' What an equalizer from Marash Kumbulla!
- 86' The whistle greets Jordan Veretout as he departs to be replaced by Gonzalo Villar.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
17
Rafael Leao ↓ Samu Castillejo 72'
- 1
- 19
- 24
- 2
- 13
- 79
- 10
- 4
- 11
- 56
Bench
- 43
- 21
- 5
- 90
- 14
-
7
Samu Castillejo ↑ 72'
- 8
-
33
Rade Krunic ↑ 72'
- 20
- 27
- 29
Coach
Stefano Pioli
AS Roma Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 77
- 11
- 24
- 23
- 37
-
2
Rick Karsdorp ↓ Bruno Peres 66'
- 7
- 9
- 83
- 17
Bench
-
33
Bruno Peres ↑ 66'
- 13
- 21
- 20
- 5
-
4
Bryan Cristante ↑ 76'
- 18
- 12
-
14
Gonzalo Villar ↑ 86'
- 57
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 2 |
| Paulo Dybala | 2 |
| Nicolo Zaniolo | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.83
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
AS Roma xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or AS Roma 76% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
65%
Draw or AS Roma
59%
AC Milan or AS Roma
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 3
4.4%
3 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4.1%
1 – 0
3.9%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | AS Roma covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 17% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 18% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 12% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.