AS Roma vs AC Milan, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Referee Lorenzo Manganelli
- Referee Massimiliano Irrati
- Referee Piero Giacomelli
- Referee Valentino Fiorito
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | AC Milan | H | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Oct | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Oct | UC Sampdoria | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Oct | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Oct | RZ Pellets Wolfsberger AC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | US Lecce | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AS Roma | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #5 |
| 73 | Points | 70 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 23 / 4 / 11 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 |
| 59 | Scored | 53 |
| 31 | Conceded | 35 |
| +28 | GD | +18 |
| 1.92 | PPG | 1.84 |
| 61% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Stadio Olimpico. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' AS Roma is showing some good football. However, AS Roma are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 10' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Franck Kessie, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Olimpico with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
- 25' It’s high time Paulo Fonseca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 35' The 37-year-old Diego Perotti has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 38' Against the run of play, Edin Dzeko has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 41' AS Roma receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 41.
- 46' Ismael Bennacer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AS Roma so far.
- 49' Mateo Musacchio is having his name booked by the referee on 49.
- 52' The AC Milan bench stirs into life. Andrea Conti is withdrawn and Davide Calabria gets his opportunity.
- 53' Mirko Antonucci is replacing Diego Perotti for the AS Roma side.
- 55' A stunning finish from Theo Hernandez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 58' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nicolo Zaniolo makes it 2-1.
- 63' AC Milan ring the changes. Lucas Paqueta has done his job and it is now time for Krzysztof Piatek to step up.
- 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Biglia on 64.
- 69' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 72' Lucas Biglia makes way for Ismael Bennacer at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 74' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Hakan Calhanoglu will be fuming at that decision.
- 77' Another change for AS Roma made on 77 minute. Leonardo Spinazzola leaves to be changed by Yildirim Mert Cetin.
- 78' The referee has no hesitation. Mirko Antonucci is booked for AS Roma — Yellow card on 78.
- 83' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Yildirim Mert Cetin.
- 83' The whistle greets Nicolo Zaniolo as he departs to be replaced by Davide Santon.
- 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Chris Smalling suffering a number of foals already.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Aleksandar Kolarov is booked for AS Roma — Yellow card on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AS Roma to claim maximum points.
Lineups
AS Roma Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
- 13
- 23
- 37
- 20
- 11
-
8
Diego Perotti ↓ Mirko Antonucci 53'
- 9
-
22
Nicolo Zaniolo ↓ Davide Santon 83'
- 27
- 21
Bench
-
15
Yildirim Mert Cetin ↑ 77'
- 63
- 5
- 24
- 53
- 83
-
18
Davide Santon ↑ 83'
-
48
Mirko Antonucci ↑ 53'
- 61
- 54
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
- 39
- 17
- 19
- 99
- 13
-
12
Andrea Conti ↓ Davide Calabria 52'
- 22
- 79
- 8
- 10
-
20
Lucas Biglia ↓ Ismael Bennacer 72'
Bench
- 43
- 18
- 90
-
2
Davide Calabria ↑ 52'
- 11
- 25
- 7
-
9
Krzysztof Piatek ↑ 63'
- 33
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↑ 72'
- 46
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Jordan Veretout | 2 |
| Leandro Paredes | 2 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 2 |
Head to Head
AS Roma Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.44
AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AS Roma win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
AS Roma or Draw
75%
Draw or AC Milan
52%
AS Roma or AC Milan
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AS Roma win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — AS Roma
| Handicap | AS Roma covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.