AC Milan vs AS Roma, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Filippo Valeriani
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Referee Gianluca Manganiello
- Referee Piero Giacomelli
- Referee Giacomo Paganessi
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun | AS Roma | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Jun | US Lecce | A | 4–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Genoa CFC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Feb | Torino FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun | AC Milan | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jun | UC Sampdoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | Cagliari Calcio | A | 4–3 | W |
| 27 Feb | KAA Gent | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Feb | US Lecce | H | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | Atalanta BC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | AS Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 70 | Points | 73 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 23 / 4 / 11 |
| 53 | Scored | 59 |
| 35 | Conceded | 31 |
| +18 | GD | +28 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.92 |
| 53% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AC Milan and AS Roma get this one started.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Davide Zappacosta, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 15' AS Roma are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 22' The referee has no hesitation. Lorenzo Pellegrini is booked for AS Roma — Yellow card on 22.
- 27' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 32' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 37' Simon Kjaer has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 41' Samu Castillejo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 41.
- 46' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 54' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Giacomo Bonaventura is replaced by Lucas Paqueta.
- 58' The supporters are chanting for Carles Perez. He replaces Justin Kluivert on 58 minute.
- 62' Poor challenge from Ante Rebic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 67' Ismael Bennacer is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AS Roma so far.
- 69' The AS Roma bench stirs into life. Henrikh Mkhitaryan is withdrawn and Diego Perotti gets his opportunity.
- 70' It is a substitution in AS Roma team. Edin Dzeko is replaced by Nikola Kalinic on 70 minute.
- 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Henrikh Mkhitaryan suffering a number of foals already.
- 76' Ante Rebic puts AC Milan on the lead.
- 78' AC Milan make a change. Ante Rebic trudges off to be replaced by Rafael Leao on 78 minutes.
- 81' Javier Pastore has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bryan Cristante on 81 minute.
- 86' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 89' A goal from the Turkey international Hakan Calhanoglu! He fires home on 89 to make it 2-0!
- 90' Jordan Veretout was booked on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Ante Rebic ↓ Rafael Leao 78'
- 19
- 24
- 99
- 13
- 12
- 79
- 5
- 10
- 7
- 4
Bench
-
39
Lucas Paqueta ↑ 54'
- 1
-
17
Rafael Leao ↑ 78'
- 90
- 2
- 20
- 93
- 33
-
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↑ 54'
- 94
- 46
- 98
Coach
Stefano Pioli
AS Roma Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 2
- 6
- 23
- 37
- 7
-
9
Edin Dzeko C ↓ Nikola Kalinic 70'
- 4
- 83
-
99
Justin Kluivert ↓ Carles Perez 58'
- 21
Bench
- 41
- 33
-
19
Nikola Kalinic ↑ 70'
-
42
Amadou Diawara ↑ 81'
- 63
- 20
- 11
-
8
Diego Perotti ↑ 69'
- 17
-
27
Javier Pastore ↑ 81'
- 14
-
31
Carles Perez ↑ 58'
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 5 |
| Franck Kessie | 3 |
| Tammy Abraham | 3 |
| Olivier Giroud | 3 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 3 |
| Jordan Veretout | 2 |
| Leandro Paredes | 2 |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.4
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
AS Roma xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
73%
Draw or AS Roma
54%
AC Milan or AS Roma
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | AS Roma covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.