Thursday , 2 July 2026

Genoa CFC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2019-20
1 2
Full Time
Sat 5 Oct 2019 · 18:45 UTC HT 45+3' · FT 45+9'

Overview

Match Preview

Genoa CFC vs AC MilanSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Referee Paolo Mazzoleni
  • Referee Dario Cecconi
  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Referee Giacomo Paganessi
14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct AC Milan H 1–2 L
29 Sep SS Lazio A 0–4 L
25 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 0–0 D
20 Sep Cagliari Calcio A 1–3 L
15 Sep Atalanta BC H 1–2 L
01 Sep ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
29 Sep ACF Fiorentina H 1–3 L
26 Sep Torino FC A 1–2 L
21 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
15 Sep Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Brescia Calcio H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Genoa CFC AC Milan
#16 Position #5
41 Points 70
38 Played 38
10 / 11 / 17 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
41 Scored 53
51 Conceded 35
-10 GD +18
1.08 PPG 1.84
26% Win % 53%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Genoa CFC are 16th (41 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Genoa CFC vs AC Milan — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 11' A change in the Genoa CFC ranks — Domenico Criscito exits the field as Davide Biraschi enters on 11.
  • 16' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alessio Romagnoli, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 23' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Cristian Zapata on 23 minutes.
  • 28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' Italy international Davide Calabria has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 41' Lasse Schone makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Genoa CFC are in front.
  • 43' Davide Calabria catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 43.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Riccardo Saponara on 45 minutes earns him a Red card. Genoa CFC will be frustrated.
  • 46' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Krzysztof Piatek is replaced by Rafael Leao on 46 minute.
  • 51' GOAL! Theo Hernandez scores on 51. Assisted by Lucas Paqueta
  • 56' Davide Biraschi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 56.
  • 57' GOAL! Franck Kessie scores on 57.
  • 62' Lucas Biglia has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 62.
  • 64' Poor challenge from Lukas Lerager. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 67' Lasse Schone is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
  • 72' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Genoa CFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 73' Another change for Genoa CFC made on 73 minute. Andrea Pinamonti leaves to be changed by Andrea Favilli.
  • 78' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Pepe Reina made 515 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 79' A meaty challenge results in booking for Davide Calabria on 79.
  • 81' Another change for AC Milan made on 81 minute. Giacomo Bonaventura leaves to be changed by Andrea Conti.
  • 84' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 88' Christian Romero was booked on 88.
  • 88' Goran Pandev is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lukas Lerager at the 88 minute mark.
  • 90' Samu Castillejo is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from AC Milan to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.95 Genoa CFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Genoa CFC25% Draw28% AC Milan47%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Genoa CFC or Draw
53%
Draw or AC Milan
75%
Genoa CFC or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Genoa CFC18% Draw49% AC Milan33%
Actual: Genoa CFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
11.9%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 2
9.4%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Genoa CFC

Handicap Genoa CFC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 23% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet
23%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.