Sunday , 16 August 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 12 Mar 2022 · 15:00 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Derby County FC H 2–0 W
08 Mar Peterborough United FC H 1–1 D
05 Mar Preston North End FC A 1–2 L
26 Feb Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
12 Feb Blackpool FC A 2–1 W
09 Feb Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar AFC Bournemouth A 0–2 L
05 Mar Barnsley FC H 2–0 W
01 Mar Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
26 Feb Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
23 Feb Millwall FC H 1–2 L
19 Feb Peterborough United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' AFC Bournemouth are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. AFC Bournemouth must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 29' The AFC Bournemouth manager makes a substitution. Leif Davis departs to be replaced by Jordan Zemura.
  • 34' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Bournemouth and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 39' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Curtis Davies has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
  • 45' Jack Stacey has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
  • 50' The England forward Dominic Solanke breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 1-0!
  • 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 60' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 63' It’s a booking for AFC Bournemouth player. Todd Cantwell gets a Yellow card.
  • 66' Luke Plange makes way for Colin Kazim-Richards at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 67' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Krystian Bielik departs to be replaced by Festy Ebosele.
  • 69' The referee has no hesitation. Ravel Morrison is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 69.
  • 71' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Curtis Davies.
  • 76' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Malcolm Ebiowei is withdrawn and Jason Knight gets his opportunity.
  • 81' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Bournemouth and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 86' AFC Bournemouth started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 86.
  • 89' Poor challenge from Ryan Christie. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 90' Magnificent from Jamal Lowe! That is 64 goals in 371 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' It is a substitution in AFC Bournemouth team. Ryan Christie is replaced by Ben Pearson on 90 minute.
  • It finishes all square. AFC Bournemouth and Derby County FC share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth50% Draw28% Derby County FC22%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
50%
AFC Bournemouth or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth33% Draw50% Derby County FC17%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
13.1%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
42%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.