Saturday , 14 November 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 12 Mar 2022 · 15:00 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar Derby County FC H 2–0 W
08 Mar Peterborough United FC H 1–1 D
05 Mar Preston North End FC A 1–2 L
26 Feb Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
12 Feb Blackpool FC A 2–1 W
09 Feb Birmingham City FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Mar AFC Bournemouth A 0–2 L
05 Mar Barnsley FC H 2–0 W
01 Mar Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
26 Feb Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
23 Feb Millwall FC H 1–2 L
19 Feb Peterborough United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Vitality Stadium!
  • 5' It’s high time Scott Parker made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' AFC Bournemouth is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 29' It is a substitution in AFC Bournemouth team. Leif Davis is replaced by Jordan Zemura on 29 minute.
  • 34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 39' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 44' Jason Knight has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Jack Stacey is booked for AFC Bournemouth — Yellow card on 45.
  • 50' A stunning finish from Dominic Solanke — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 55' AFC Bournemouth are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 60' Jaidon Anthony has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 63' That is a Yellow card for AFC Bournemouth. Todd Cantwell will be fuming at that decision.
  • 66' Colin Kazim-Richards is replacing Luke Plange for the Derby County FC side.
  • 67' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Krystian Bielik exits the field as Festy Ebosele enters on 67.
  • 69' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 69.
  • 71' A moment of madness from Curtis Davies on 71 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 76' The whistle greets Malcolm Ebiowei as he departs to be replaced by Jason Knight.
  • 81' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Nathan Byrne has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mark Travers suffering a number of foals already.
  • 89' Ryan Christie was booked on 89.
  • 90' Jamal Lowe doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Ryan Christie as he leaves the pitch. Ben Pearson steps in for AFC Bournemouth.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Bournemouth50% Draw28% Derby County FC22%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
50%
AFC Bournemouth or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth33% Draw50% Derby County FC17%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
13.1%
0 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 24% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.