Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sun 21 Nov 2021 · 12:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov AFC Bournemouth H 3–2 W
06 Nov Millwall FC A 1–1 D
03 Nov Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
30 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–2 L
23 Oct Coventry City FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Nov Derby County FC A 2–3 L
06 Nov Swansea City AFC H 4–0 W
03 Nov Preston North End FC H 1–2 L
30 Oct Reading FC A 2–0 W
23 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC H 3–0 W
19 Oct Stoke City FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Derby County FC welcome AFC Bournemouth for this crunch clash at Pride Park.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' Festy Ebosele is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Bournemouth so far.
  • 13' Jason Knight is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 18' Derby County FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AFC Bournemouth's shape.
  • 19' Against the run of play, Jaidon Anthony has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 21' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Sam Baldock exits the field as Colin Kazim-Richards enters on 21.
  • 22' Colin Kazim-Richards is replacing Sam Baldock for the Derby County FC side.
  • 27' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Max Bird has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' Derby County FC have won 459 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and AFC Bournemouth are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 38' Goal! Dominic Solanke scores his 92 goal in 415 matches.
  • 43' The 26-year-old Leif Davis has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 48' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 53' The referee has no hesitation. Philip Billing is booked for AFC Bournemouth — Yellow card on 53.
  • 58' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 58 minutes.
  • 61' AFC Bournemouth ring the changes. Lewis Cook has done his job and it is now time for Gavin Kilkenny to step up.
  • 62' Tom Lawrence is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 67' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 68' Tom Lawrence has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 68 minutes.
  • 69' A goal from the Wales international Tom Lawrence! He fires home on 69 to make it 4-2!
  • 74' Another change for AFC Bournemouth made on 74 minute. Jefferson Lerma leaves to be changed by Morgan Rogers.
  • 75' AFC Bournemouth make a change. Leif Davis trudges off to be replaced by Jamal Lowe on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 83' Derby County FC make a change. Festy Ebosele trudges off to be replaced by Richard Stearman on 83 minutes.
  • 88' Lewis Cook has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AFC Bournemouth.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or AFC Bournemouth 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC45% Draw26% AFC Bournemouth29%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
71%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
55%
Derby County FC or AFC Bournemouth
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC31% Draw45% AFC Bournemouth24%
Actual: AFC Bournemouth win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.