Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Bournemouth vs Derby County FC, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Sat 31 Oct 2020 · 15:00 UTC Vitality Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Bournemouth vs Derby County FCChampionship at Vitality Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Referee Darren Cann
  • Referee Mark Scholes

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
AFC Bournemouth 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
28 Oct Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
24 Oct Watford FC A 1–1 D
21 Oct Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
17 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–0 D
02 Oct Coventry City FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Oct AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
28 Oct Cardiff City FC H 1–1 D
23 Oct Nottingham Forest FC A 1–1 D
20 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
16 Oct Watford FC H 0–1 L
03 Oct Norwich City FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Vitality Stadium will turn into a battlefield for AFC Bournemouth and Derby County FC.
  • 2' Derby County FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 2.
  • 7' It’s high time Phillip Cocu made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Philip Billing on 12.
  • 14' Graeme Shinnie adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 19' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lee Buchanan, as he is very good at scoring at Vitality Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 24' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Diego Rico.
  • 29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 34' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 44' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' Fresh legs for AFC Bournemouth! Joshua King comes on to replace Junior Stanislas.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' AFC Bournemouth have won 441 goals from 335 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 61' The whistle greets Wayne Rooney as he departs to be replaced by Duane Holmes.
  • 66' Asmir Begovic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 69' AFC Bournemouth manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. David Brooks is hanging Jack Stacey on the field on 69 minute.
  • 74' Adam Smith has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 76' AFC Bournemouth make a change. Philip Billing trudges off to be replaced by Rodrigo Riquelme on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Rodrigo Riquelme makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and AFC Bournemouth are in front.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Derby County FCAndre Wisdom on, Mike te Wierik off on 81 minutes.
  • 86' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 90' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Martyn Waghorn is withdrawn and Louie Sibley gets his opportunity.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.11 AFC Bournemouth xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: AFC Bournemouth or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth41% Draw31% Derby County FC28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

AFC Bournemouth or Draw
72%
Draw or Derby County FC
59%
AFC Bournemouth or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Bournemouth26% Draw54% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.6%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
13.3%
0 – 1
10.8%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
2.8%
3 – 1
2.7%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — AFC Bournemouth

Handicap AFC Bournemouth covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 22% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
40%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.