Sunday , 16 August 2026

Derby County FC vs AFC Bournemouth, Championship 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2020-21
Tue 19 Jan 2021 · 18:00 UTC iPro Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+5'
Y 71' Lewis Cook

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
Derby County FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals AFC Bournemouth

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan AFC Bournemouth H 1–0 W
16 Jan Rotherham United FC H 0–1 L
09 Jan Chorley FC A 0–2 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Birmingham City FC A 4–0 W
26 Dec Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan Derby County FC A 0–1 L
16 Jan Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
12 Jan Millwall FC H 1–1 D
09 Jan Oldham Athletic AFC H 4–1 W
02 Jan Stoke City FC A 1–0 W
30 Dec Brentford FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, AFC Bournemouth does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' Jack Wilshere has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' AFC Bournemouth have won 441 goals from 335 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jack Stacey suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' It’s high time Wayne Rooney made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and AFC Bournemouth are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 32' What composure from Krystian Bielik! The Poland international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 42' It looks surprising AFC Bournemouth does not make any changes. Joshua King has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 46' The AFC Bournemouth bench stirs into life. Adam Smith is withdrawn and Joshua King gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 61' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 63' AFC Bournemouth make a change. Arnaut Danjuma trudges off to be replaced by Sam Surridge on 63 minutes.
  • 68' AFC Bournemouth started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 68.
  • 71' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Lewis Cook.
  • 76' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 78' AFC Bournemouth ring the changes. David Brooks has done his job and it is now time for Jack Wilshere to step up.
  • 82' Derby County FC make a change. Kamil Jozwiak trudges off to be replaced by Cornell MacDonald on 82 minutes.
  • 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
  • 90' Jayden Mitchell-Lawson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jason Knight on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. Derby County FC beats AFC Bournemouth

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 AFC Bournemouth xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC44% Draw32% AFC Bournemouth24%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
75%
Draw or AFC Bournemouth
56%
Derby County FC or AFC Bournemouth
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC26% Draw56% AFC Bournemouth18%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.9%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
3%
2 – 2
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push AFC Bournemouth covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 23% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 17% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
45%
AFC Bournemouth keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.