Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Panathinaikos AO, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3

Tue 15 Aug 2023 · 19:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Panathinaikos AOChampions League Q at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
19 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 9.5 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Olympique de Marseille 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Panathinaikos AO

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Panathinaikos AO H 3–5 L
12 Aug Stade de Reims H 2–1 W
09 Aug Panathinaikos AO A 0–1 L
03 Jun AC Ajaccio A 0–1 L
27 May Stade Brestois 29 H 1–2 L
20 May Lille OSC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Olympique de Marseille A 5–3 W
09 Aug Olympique de Marseille H 1–0 W
01 Aug SK Dnipro-1 H 2–2 D
25 Jul SK Dnipro-1 A 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Panathinaikos AO this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Panathinaikos AO
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/2
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Olympique de Marseille is hosting Panathinaikos AO for another epic battle.
  • 2' Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang puts Olympique de Marseille on the lead.
  • 7' Olympique de Marseille receives a card for a hard tackle on 7.
  • 12' The travelling Panathinaikos AO supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 18' The referee calls foul for Tin Jedvaj. He receives a card.
  • 23' Tonny Vilhena has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' Panathinaikos AO player sees a card in front of him.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Olympique de Marseille needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' Olympique de Marseille started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' Azzedine Ounahi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 46' GOAL! Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scores on 45. Assisted by Jonathan Clauss
  • 47' Another change for Panathinaikos AO made on 47 minute. Benjamin Verbic leaves to be changed by Sebastian Palacios.
  • 52' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Panathinaikos AO that had 26 games and scored 23 goals.
  • 57' Panathinaikos AO seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Olympique de Marseille team. Azzedine Ounahi is replaced by Amine Harit on 59 minute.
  • 63' The whistle greets Filip Duricic as he departs to be replaced by Fotis Ioannidis.
  • 67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Georgios Vagiannidis on 67.
  • 69' Matteo Guendouzi is replacing Iliman Ndiaye for the Olympique de Marseille side.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Filip Mladenovic. He replaces Juankar on 70 minute.
  • 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ruben Perez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' Time for substitution for Olympique de Marseille. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is replaced by Vitinha.
  • 85' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 88' Daniel Mancini was booked on 88.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Ruben Perez. He receives a card.
  • Full Time. Panathinaikos AO beats Olympique de Marseille

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.27 Panathinaikos AO xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille28% Draw23% Panathinaikos AO49%
Actual: Panathinaikos AO win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
51%
Draw or Panathinaikos AO
72%
Olympique de Marseille or Panathinaikos AO
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille24% Draw38% Panathinaikos AO38%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
6%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Panathinaikos AO covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 14% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 19% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
11%
Panathinaikos AO keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.