Sunday , 16 August 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Panathinaikos AO, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3

Tue 15 Aug 2023 · 19:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Panathinaikos AOChampions League Q at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
20 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 10.4 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Olympique de Marseille 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Panathinaikos AO

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Panathinaikos AO H 3–5 L
12 Aug Stade de Reims H 2–1 W
09 Aug Panathinaikos AO A 0–1 L
03 Jun AC Ajaccio A 0–1 L
27 May Stade Brestois 29 H 1–2 L
20 May Lille OSC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Olympique de Marseille A 5–3 W
09 Aug Olympique de Marseille H 1–0 W
01 Aug SK Dnipro-1 H 2–2 D
25 Jul SK Dnipro-1 A 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Olympique de Marseille launch into their encounter with Panathinaikos AO.
  • 2' Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 2 minutes.
  • 7' That looks like a foul for a card for Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
  • 12' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 17' It looks surprising Panathinaikos AO does not make any changes. Valentin Rongier has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 18' It’s gonna be a card for Tin Jedvaj.
  • 23' Sebastian Palacios has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 25' Poor challenge from Alberto Brignoli. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Olympique de Marseille needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. Olympique de Marseille in their trying to find a way past Panathinaikos AO's compact .
  • 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 46' Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 47' Panathinaikos AO manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sebastian Palacios is hanging Benjamin Verbic on the field on 47 minute.
  • 52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 57' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Olympique de Marseille and Panathinaikos AO are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 59' Fresh legs for Olympique de Marseille! Amine Harit comes on to replace Azzedine Ounahi.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Fotis Ioannidis. He replaces Filip Duricic on 63 minute.
  • 67' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Georgios Vagiannidis.
  • 69' Fresh legs for Olympique de Marseille! Matteo Guendouzi comes on to replace Iliman Ndiaye.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Panathinaikos AO team. Juankar is replaced by Filip Mladenovic on 70 minute.
  • 75' Panathinaikos AO started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 75.
  • 80' Another change for Olympique de Marseille made on 80 minute. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang leaves to be changed by Vitinha.
  • 85' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 88' Poor challenge from Daniel Mancini. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' Panathinaikos AO receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Olympique de Marseille will have plenty to reflect on. Panathinaikos AO were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.27 Panathinaikos AO xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille28% Draw23% Panathinaikos AO49%
Actual: Panathinaikos AO win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
51%
Draw or Panathinaikos AO
72%
Olympique de Marseille or Panathinaikos AO
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille24% Draw38% Panathinaikos AO38%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
6%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Panathinaikos AO covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 14% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 19% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
11%
Panathinaikos AO keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.