Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Panathinaikos AO, Champions League Q 2023 ROUND 3

Tue 15 Aug 2023 · 19:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Panathinaikos AO — Champions League Q at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
Olympique de Marseille 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Panathinaikos AO

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Panathinaikos AO H 3–5 L
12 Aug Stade de Reims H 2–1 W
09 Aug Panathinaikos AO A 0–1 L
03 Jun AC Ajaccio A 0–1 L
27 May Stade Brestois 29 H 1–2 L
20 May Lille OSC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Olympique de Marseille A 5–3 W
09 Aug Olympique de Marseille H 1–0 W
01 Aug SK Dnipro-1 H 2–2 D
25 Jul SK Dnipro-1 A 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Orange Velodrome!
  • 2' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang makes it 1-0.
  • 7' Olympique de Marseille player sees a card in front of him.
  • 12' Olympique de Marseille started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 12.
  • 17' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Panathinaikos AO that had 26 games and scored 23 goals.
  • 18' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tin Jedvaj on 18.
  • 23' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' It’s gonna be a card for Alberto Brignoli.
  • 30' Iliman Ndiaye is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Olympique de Marseille tonight.
  • 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' Panathinaikos AO come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Georgios Vagiannidis suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' The Gabon forward Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 2-0!
  • 47' The whistle greets Benjamin Verbic as he departs to be replaced by Sebastian Palacios.
  • 52' has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' Olympique de Marseille are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Panathinaikos AO backline.
  • 59' The Olympique de Marseille bench stirs into life. Azzedine Ounahi is withdrawn and Amine Harit gets his opportunity.
  • 63' The Panathinaikos AO bench stirs into life. Filip Duricic is withdrawn and Fotis Ioannidis gets his opportunity.
  • 67' Poor challenge from Georgios Vagiannidis. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 69' Olympique de Marseille manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matteo Guendouzi is hanging Iliman Ndiaye on the field on 69 minute.
  • 70' The whistle greets Juankar as he departs to be replaced by Filip Mladenovic.
  • 75' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Panathinaikos AO needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 80' Time for substitution for Olympique de Marseille. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is replaced by Vitinha.
  • 85' The 31-year-old Pau Lopez has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Daniel Mancini.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Ruben Perez.
  • Another three points for Panathinaikos AO.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.27 Panathinaikos AO xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille28% Draw23% Panathinaikos AO49%
Actual: Panathinaikos AO win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
51%
Draw or Panathinaikos AO
72%
Olympique de Marseille or Panathinaikos AO
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille24% Draw38% Panathinaikos AO38%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
6%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
5%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Panathinaikos AO covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 14% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 19% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 15% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Panathinaikos AO keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.