Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AD Ceuta FC vs Málaga CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
1 – 4
Full Time
Sat 16 May 2026 · 14:15 UTC Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Joaquin Munoz
0–2 13' Chupe
0–3 43' Chupe
Einar Galilea 52' 1–3
1–4 82' Aaron Ochoa

Overview

Match Preview

AD Ceuta FC vs Málaga CF — Segunda Division at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.

Head-to-Head

2
AD Ceuta FC 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Málaga CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Málaga CF H 1–4 L
09 May CD Castellon H 1–1 D
03 May Real Sporting de Gijon A 2–1 W
26 Apr Real Racing Club de Santander H 0–0 D
18 Apr Real Zaragoza A 2–2 D
10 Apr Real Sociedad B H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May AD Ceuta FC A 4–1 W
09 May Real Sporting de Gijon H 2–1 W
02 May SD Eibar A 4–2 W
25 Apr CD Castellon H 2–3 L
19 Apr UD Almeria A 2–3 L
11 Apr UD Las Palmas H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AD Ceuta FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AD Ceuta FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AD Ceuta FC
Carlos Hernandez 4 G
Jordi Escobar 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AD Ceuta FC vs Malaga CF — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' GOAL! Joaquin Munoz scores on 5.
  • 10' Malaga CF come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 13' Chupe does the damage! The net is bulging and Malaga CF surge ahead!
  • 18' Malaga CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 23' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alfonso Herrero is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Malaga CF.
  • 28' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 33' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kuki Zalazar, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 34' A moment of madness from Marino Illescas on 34 minutes earns him a card. AD Ceuta FC will be frustrated.
  • 37' Manuel Sanchez adds to his 0 season tally! AD Ceuta FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 42' Guillermo Vallejo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AD Ceuta FC so far.
  • 43' Against the run of play, Chupe has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 48' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ignacio Schor on 48.
  • 52' The Spain Einar Galilea breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 2-3!
  • 57' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 62' AD Ceuta FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 64' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Aaron Ochoa on 64 minutes.
  • 69' Izan Merino has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 77' It’s a booking for AD Ceuta FC player. Manuel Sanchez gets a card.
  • 82' What a moment for Aaron Ochoa! That strike on 82 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 84' That is a card for Malaga CF. Darko Brasanac will be fuming at that decision.
  • 89' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • Full Time. Malaga CF beats AD Ceuta FC

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24 AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95 Málaga CF xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC26% Draw26% Málaga CF48%
Actual: Málaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

AD Ceuta FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Málaga CF
74%
AD Ceuta FC or Málaga CF
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AD Ceuta FC19% Draw42% Málaga CF39%
Actual: Málaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 3
5%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC

Handicap AD Ceuta FC covers Push Málaga CF covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 22% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 16% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.