Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Málaga CF vs Real Sporting de Gijon, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Sat 9 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC La Rosaleda 27,896 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Jonathan Dubasin
Chupete 54' 1–1
Joaquin Munoz 86' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Málaga CF vs Real Sporting de Gijon — Segunda Division at La Rosaleda.

Match Details

  • Referee Rafael Sanchez Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jesus Mira Garcia (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Jose Hernandez Garcia (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Real Sporting de Gijon H 2–1 W
02 May SD Eibar A 4–2 W
25 Apr CD Castellon H 2–3 L
19 Apr UD Almeria A 2–3 L
11 Apr UD Las Palmas H 2–0 W
04 Apr RC Deportivo La Coruña A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Málaga CF A 1–2 L
03 May AD Ceuta FC H 1–2 L
26 Apr Cordoba CF A 2–3 L
19 Apr Cadiz CF H 3–0 W
11 Apr Burgos CF A 0–1 L
06 Apr Real Sociedad B H 1–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Real Sporting de Gijon this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Sporting de Gijon
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Sporting de Gijon
Juan Ferney Otero 1 G
Alejo Sarco 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Malaga CF and Real Sporting de Gijon get this one started.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 11' Brilliant from the forward! Jonathan Dubasin makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 11.
  • 16' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Malaga CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 21' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Borja Jiménez will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 23' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jonathan Dubasin on 23 minutes.
  • 25' That looks like a foul for a card for Jonathan Dubasin.
  • 30' Malaga CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Sporting de Gijon backline.
  • 35' Another substitution for Malaga CF to replace Darko Brasanac by Chupete on 35 minute.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Carlos Dotor is booked for Malaga CF — card on 45.
  • 46' Malaga CF make a change. Einar Galilea trudges off to be replaced by Ramon Enriquez Rodriguez on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The 26-year-old Guille Rosas has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 54' What a strike from Chupete! The score is 1-1.
  • 59' Real Sporting de Gijon make a change. Gaspar Campos trudges off to be replaced by Juan Ferney Otero on 59 minutes.
  • 61' That looks like a foul for a card for Justin Smith.
  • 66' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 5-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 69' Aaron Ochoa is replacing Adrian for the Malaga CF side.
  • 70' Another substitution for Malaga CF to replace David Larrubia by Haitam Abaida on 70 minute.
  • 75' Gaspar Campos is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Real Sporting de Gijon so far.
  • 76' The Real Sporting de Gijon manager makes a substitution. Diego Sanchez departs to be replaced by Kevin Vazquez.
  • 81' Diego Murillo was booked on 81.
  • 83' It is a substitution in Malaga CF team. Izan Merino is replaced by Rodriguez Ruiz on 83 minute.
  • 86' Malaga CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Joaquin Munoz on 86.
  • 86' Real Sporting de Gijon player sees a card in front of him.
  • 89' A moment of madness from Cesar Gelabert Pina on 89 minutes earns him a card. Real Sporting de Gijon will be frustrated.
  • 90' A change in the Real Sporting de Gijon ranks — Alex Corredera exits the field as Pablo Garcia enters on 90.
  • 90' Juan Ferney Otero catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Real Sporting de Gijon.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8 Málaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Real Sporting de Gijon xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Málaga CF to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Málaga CF56% Draw24% Real Sporting de Gijon20%
Actual: Málaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Málaga CF or Draw
79%
Draw or Real Sporting de Gijon
44%
Málaga CF or Real Sporting de Gijon
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Málaga CF37% Draw44% Real Sporting de Gijon19%
Actual: Real Sporting de Gijon win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Málaga CF

Handicap Málaga CF covers Push Real Sporting de Gijon covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Real Sporting de Gijon keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.