AD Ceuta FC vs Málaga CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AD Ceuta FC vs Málaga CF — Segunda Division at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
- AD Ceuta FC 13 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Málaga CF 42 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Almeria | 13 | 29 |
| 2 | CD Castellon | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Burgos CF | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | SD Eibar | 12 | 23 |
| 5 | Granada CF | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | RCD Mallorca | 12 | 22 |
| 7 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 13 | 22 |
| 8 | Girona FC | 13 | 21 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo | 13 | 21 |
| 10 | UD Las Palmas | 13 | 20 |
| 11 | Cordoba CF | 13 | 19 |
| 12 | Real Valladolid CF | 13 | 18 |
| 13 | CE Sabadell FC | 13 | 18 |
| 14 | CD Tenerife | 12 | 15 |
| 15 | CD Leganes | 14 | 15 |
| 16 | CD Eldense | 13 | 14 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo B | 13 | 13 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 13 | 12 |
| 19 | Andorra CF | 12 | 11 |
| 20 | Cadiz CF | 13 | 10 |
| 21 | Albacete Balompie | 13 | 10 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 13 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Málaga CF | H | 1–4 | L |
| 09 May | CD Castellon | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Real Sporting de Gijon | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Real Racing Club de Santander | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Apr | Real Zaragoza | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Apr | Real Sociedad B | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | AD Ceuta FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 09 May | Real Sporting de Gijon | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 May | SD Eibar | A | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Apr | CD Castellon | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | UD Almeria | A | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | UD Las Palmas | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
AD Ceuta FC this season
AD Ceuta FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AD Ceuta FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/6
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/6
61-75
1/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AD Ceuta FC
| Jordi Escobar | 4 G | 1 A |
| Carlos Hernandez | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' AD Ceuta FC have kicked off against Malaga CF. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Magnificent from Joaquin Munoz! That is 1 goals in 94 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 10' Rafa Rodriguez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 13' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Chupe makes it 0-2.
- 18' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 23' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AD Ceuta FC and Malaga CF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 28' The 31-year-old Yann Bodiger has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 34' It’s gonna be a card for Marino Illescas.
- 37' Against the run of play, Manuel Sanchez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 42' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 43' Chupe with the second goal in the match!
- 48' Poor challenge from Ignacio Schor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 52' Magnificent from Einar Galilea! That is 1 goals in 94 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 57' AD Ceuta FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 62' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 62 minutes.
- 64' The referee calls foul for Aaron Ochoa. He receives a card.
- 69' A quiet spell here at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. Malaga CF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 74' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 77' The referee calls foul for Manuel Sanchez. He receives a card.
- 82' Magnificent from Aaron Ochoa! That is 1 goals in 94 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 84' Darko Brasanac is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
- 89' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- The final score is 1-4.
Lineups
AD Ceuta FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 6
- 18
- 15
- 13
- 5
- 8
- 12
- 23
- 19
Bench
- 11
- 26
- 17
- 4
- 30
- 34
- 24
- 1
- 2
- 37
Coach
José Romero
Málaga CF Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 31
- 10
- 4
- 3
- 22
- 23
- 36
- 11
- 37
- 9
Bench
- 5
- 20
- 17
- 24
- 14
- 2
- 35
- 7
- 6
- 13
- 26
- 21
Coach
Juan Funes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chupe | 2 |
| Einar Galilea | 1 |
| Aaron Ochoa | 1 |
| Joaquin Munoz | 1 |
AD Ceuta FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.24
AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95
Málaga CF xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Málaga CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
AD Ceuta FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Málaga CF
74%
AD Ceuta FC or Málaga CF
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Málaga CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–4 not predicted1 – 4Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.8%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 3
5%
1 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC
| Handicap | AD Ceuta FC covers | Push | Málaga CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

