Monday , 10 August 2026

AD Ceuta FC vs Málaga CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
1 4
Full Time
Sat 16 May 2026 · 14:15 UTC Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Joaquin Munoz
0–2 13' Chupe
0–3 43' Chupe
Einar Galilea 52' 1–3
1–4 82' Aaron Ochoa

Overview

Match Preview

AD Ceuta FC vs Málaga CFSegunda Division at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.

Head-to-Head

2
AD Ceuta FC 2 games · Avg 4.0 goals Málaga CF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May Málaga CF H 1–4 L
09 May CD Castellon H 1–1 D
03 May Real Sporting de Gijon A 2–1 W
26 Apr Real Racing Club de Santander H 0–0 D
18 Apr Real Zaragoza A 2–2 D
10 Apr Real Sociedad B H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 May AD Ceuta FC A 4–1 W
09 May Real Sporting de Gijon H 2–1 W
02 May SD Eibar A 4–2 W
25 Apr CD Castellon H 2–3 L
19 Apr UD Almería A 2–3 L
11 Apr UD Las Palmas H 2–0 W

Season Stats

AD Ceuta FC Málaga CF
#12 Position #4
59 Points 73
42 Played 42
16 / 11 / 15 W / D / L 21 / 10 / 11
49 Scored 75
62 Conceded 52
-13 GD +23
1.40 PPG 1.74
38% Win % 50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AD Ceuta FC are 12th (59 pts). Málaga CF are 4th (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube will turn into a battlefield for AD Ceuta FC and Malaga CF.
  • 5' Goal! Joaquin Munoz scores his 1 goal in 84 matches.
  • 10' Malaga CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 13' Chupe adds to his 0 season tally! Malaga CF lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 18' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Malaga CF that had 84 games and scored 64 goals.
  • 23' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 33' David Larrubia has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 34' Marino Illescas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 34.
  • 37' Manuel Sanchez adds to his 0 season tally! AD Ceuta FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 42' Konrad de la Fuente needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 43' What a strike from Chupe! The score is 1-3.
  • 48' Poor challenge from Ignacio Schor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 52' Einar Galilea is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 57' Jamelli has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jose Romero will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 64' It’s gonna be a card for Aaron Ochoa.
  • 69' AD Ceuta FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 74' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 77' Controversy at the stadium! Manuel Sanchez argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 82' A stunning finish from Aaron Ochoa — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 84' The referee shows Malaga CF player a card on 84.
  • 89' AD Ceuta FC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • The points are shared — AD Ceuta FC 1-4 Malaga CF. Honours even.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39 Málaga CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC22% Draw23% Málaga CF55%
Actual: Málaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

AD Ceuta FC or Draw
45%
Draw or Málaga CF
78%
AD Ceuta FC or Málaga CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AD Ceuta FC16% Draw38% Málaga CF46%
Actual: Málaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 1
8.7%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
0 – 3
6%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
4.4%
1 – 4
Actual
0 – 0
4%
0 – 4
3.6%

Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC

Handicap AD Ceuta FC covers Push Málaga CF covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 10% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 38% 62%
+1 38% 21% 41%
+1.5 59% 41%
+2 59% 18% 23%
+2.5 77% 23%

Clean Sheet

AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
10%
Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.