AD Ceuta FC vs Málaga CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AD Ceuta FC vs Málaga CF — Segunda Division at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.
- AD Ceuta FC 42 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
- Málaga CF 42 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 42 | 82 |
| 2 | RC Deportivo La Coruña | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | UD Almería | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Málaga CF | 42 | 73 |
| 5 | UD Las Palmas | 42 | 73 |
| 6 | CD Castellon | 42 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 72 |
| 8 | SD Eibar | 42 | 67 |
| 9 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 42 | 61 |
| 10 | Cordoba CF | 42 | 61 |
| 11 | Albacete Balompie | 42 | 59 |
| 12 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 59 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 42 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Leganes | 42 | 46 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid CF | 42 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 42 | 43 |
| 19 | CD Mirandés | 42 | 40 |
| 20 | SD Huesca | 42 | 38 |
| 21 | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 42 | 37 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 42 | 36 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Málaga CF | H | 1–4 | L |
| 09 May | CD Castellon | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | Real Sporting de Gijon | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Apr | Real Racing Club de Santander | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Apr | Real Zaragoza | A | 2–2 | D |
| 10 Apr | Real Sociedad B | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | AD Ceuta FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 09 May | Real Sporting de Gijon | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 May | SD Eibar | A | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Apr | CD Castellon | H | 2–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | UD Almería | A | 2–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | UD Las Palmas | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AD Ceuta FC | Málaga CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 59 | Points | 73 |
| 42 | Played | 42 |
| 16 / 11 / 15 | W / D / L | 21 / 10 / 11 |
| 49 | Scored | 75 |
| 62 | Conceded | 52 |
| -13 | GD | +23 |
| 1.40 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 38% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AD Ceuta FC are 12th (59 pts). Málaga CF are 4th (73 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube will turn into a battlefield for AD Ceuta FC and Malaga CF.
- 5' Goal! Joaquin Munoz scores his 1 goal in 84 matches.
- 10' Malaga CF fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 13' Chupe adds to his 0 season tally! Malaga CF lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 18' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Malaga CF that had 84 games and scored 64 goals.
- 23' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 33' David Larrubia has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 34' Marino Illescas catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 34.
- 37' Manuel Sanchez adds to his 0 season tally! AD Ceuta FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 42' Konrad de la Fuente needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 43' What a strike from Chupe! The score is 1-3.
- 48' Poor challenge from Ignacio Schor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 52' Einar Galilea is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 57' Jamelli has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jose Romero will be considering his options from the bench.
- 64' It’s gonna be a card for Aaron Ochoa.
- 69' AD Ceuta FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
- 74' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 77' Controversy at the stadium! Manuel Sanchez argues furiously but the card stands.
- 82' A stunning finish from Aaron Ochoa — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 84' The referee shows Malaga CF player a card on 84.
- 89' AD Ceuta FC currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- The points are shared — AD Ceuta FC 1-4 Malaga CF. Honours even.
Lineups
AD Ceuta FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 23
- 6
- 14
- 15
- 12
- 5
- 8
- 18
- 19
Bench
- 17
- 24
- 4
- 30
- 1
- 34
- 11
- 37
- 2
- 26
Coach
Jose Romero
Málaga CF Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 31
- 10
- 4
- 3
- 22
- 23
- 36
- 11
- 37
- 9
Bench
- 5
- 20
- 17
- 24
- 14
- 2
- 35
- 7
- 6
- 13
- 26
- 21
Coach
Juan Funes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Chupe | 2 |
| Einar Galilea | 1 |
| Aaron Ochoa | 1 |
| Joaquin Munoz | 1 |
AD Ceuta FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22
AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39
Málaga CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Málaga CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
AD Ceuta FC or Draw
45%
Draw or Málaga CF
78%
AD Ceuta FC or Málaga CF
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Málaga CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 1
8.7%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
0 – 3
6%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
4.7%
2 – 3
4.4%
1 – 4
Actual
0 – 0
4%
0 – 4
3.6%
Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC
| Handicap | AD Ceuta FC covers | Push | Málaga CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 10% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +1 | 38% | 21% | 41% |
| +1.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +2 | 59% | 18% | 23% |
| +2.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
Clean Sheet
AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

