Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Sassuolo Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Sassuolo Calcio vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Pairetto
6 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec ACF Fiorentina H 3–1 W
28 Nov Como 1907 A 0–2 L
24 Nov AC Pisa 1909 H 2–2 D
09 Nov Atalanta BC A 3–0 W
03 Nov Genoa CFC H 1–2 L
30 Oct Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–3 L
30 Nov Atalanta BC A 0–2 L
22 Nov Juventus FC H 1–1 D
09 Nov Genoa CFC A 2–2 D
02 Nov US Lecce H 0–1 L
29 Oct FC Internazionale Milano A 0–3 L

Season Stats

US Sassuolo Calcio ACF Fiorentina
#11 Position #15
49 Points 42
38 Played 38
14 / 7 / 17 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
46 Scored 41
50 Conceded 50
-4 GD -9
1.29 PPG 1.11
37% Win % 24%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Sassuolo Calcio are 11th (49 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

US Sassuolo Calcio Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79 US Sassuolo Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Sassuolo Calcio49% Draw24% ACF Fiorentina27%
Actual: US Sassuolo Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

US Sassuolo Calcio or Draw
73%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
51%
US Sassuolo Calcio or ACF Fiorentina
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Sassuolo Calcio34% Draw43% ACF Fiorentina23%
Actual: US Sassuolo Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio

Handicap US Sassuolo Calcio covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

US Sassuolo Calcio keeps clean sheet
26%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.