Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2022-23
5 1
Full Time
Sat 20 May 2023 · 18:45 UTC San Siro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs UC SampdoriaSerie A at San Siro.

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Di Martino
  • Referee Salvatore Longo
  • Referee Marco Scatragli
  • Referee Alessio Berti
  • Referee Francesco Forneau
  • Referee Maria Sole Ferrieri Caputi (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May UC Sampdoria H 5–1 W
16 May FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
13 May Spezia Calcio A 0–2 L
10 May FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
06 May SS Lazio H 2–0 W
03 May US Cremonese H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 May AC Milan A 1–5 L
15 May Empoli FC H 1–1 D
08 May Udinese Calcio A 0–2 L
03 May Torino FC H 0–2 L
30 Apr ACF Fiorentina A 0–5 L
22 Apr Spezia Calcio H 1–1 D

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AC Milan vs UC Sampdoria — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Rafael Leao is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for UC Sampdoria tonight.
  • 9' Rafael Leao makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and AC Milan are in front.
  • 14' Brahim Diaz has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 19' England international Harry Winks has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Fabio Quagliarella makes it 1-1.
  • 23' Sensational shot from Olivier Giroud. AC Milan is back in the lead.
  • 27' Koray Gunter has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 27.
  • 29' What a moment for Olivier Giroud! That strike on 29 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 30' Alessandro Zanoli catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 30.
  • 35' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Milan and UC Sampdoria are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 45' UC Sampdoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 50' Junior Messias has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 55' AC Milan are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against UC Sampdoria's shape.
  • 60' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alexis Saelemaekers is hanging Junior Messias on the field on 60 minute.
  • 63' The deadlock is broken! Brahim Diaz gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
  • 68' What composure from Olivier Giroud! The France international strokes it home. 5-1.
  • 69' Bruno Amione is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bram Nuytinck at the 69 minute mark.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Sam Lammers. He replaces Manolo Gabbiadini on 70 minute.
  • 75' Theo Hernandez is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
  • 80' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Sandro Tonali as he leaves the pitch. Tommaso Pobega steps in for AC Milan.
  • 82' Fode Ballo-Toure has so much to prove this time. He replaces Theo Hernandez on 82 minute.
  • 87' UC Sampdoria are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 89' Marios Oikonomou has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 89.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AC Milan 5-1 UC Sampdoria.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 UC Sampdoria xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan64% Draw22% UC Sampdoria14%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
85%
Draw or UC Sampdoria
36%
AC Milan or UC Sampdoria
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan46% Draw42% UC Sampdoria12%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
11%
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push UC Sampdoria covers
-2.5 21% 79%
-2 21% 20% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 23% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42%
UC Sampdoria keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.