Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Roma vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
2 0
Full Time
Sat 23 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'
Lorenzo Pellegrini 76' 1–0
Romelu Lukaku 90+6' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs SSC NapoliSerie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Andrea Colombo (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Damiano Di Iorio
  • Assistant 2 Alessio Tolfo
5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 6.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Dec SSC Napoli H 2–0 W
17 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 0–2 L
14 Dec FC Sheriff Tiraspol H 3–0 W
10 Dec ACF Fiorentina H 1–1 D
03 Dec US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–1 W
30 Nov Servette FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Dec AS Roma A 0–2 L
16 Dec Cagliari Calcio H 2–1 W
12 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 2–0 W
08 Dec Juventus FC A 0–1 L
03 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 0–3 L
29 Nov Real Madrid CF A 2–4 L

Season Stats

AS Roma SSC Napoli
#3 Position #2
73 Points 76
38 Played 38
23 / 4 / 11 W / D / L 23 / 7 / 8
59 Scored 58
31 Conceded 36
+28 GD +22
1.92 PPG 2.00
61% Win % 61%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts). SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma54% Draw27% SSC Napoli19%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
81%
Draw or SSC Napoli
46%
AS Roma or SSC Napoli
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma37% Draw50% SSC Napoli13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.4%
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 25% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
47%
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.