Tuesday , 21 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Köln, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 24 Aug 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC KölnBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
5 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug 1. FC Köln H 0–1 L
18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W
17 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
10 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
04 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
26 Apr FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
17 Aug SSV Jahn Regensburg A 2–1 W
18 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 4–0 W
09 May 1. FC Nurnberg A 2–1 W
03 May SSV Jahn Regensburg H 1–1 D
27 Apr Hannover 96 A 0–1 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FC Köln
#10 Position #14
40 Points 32
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 7 / 11 / 16
44 Scored 49
53 Conceded 63
-9 GD -14
1.18 PPG 0.94
29% Win % 21%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). 1. FC Köln are 14th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1. FC Koln.
  • With this win, 1. FC Koln is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

1. FC Köln Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.38 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 1. FC Köln xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Köln 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0538% Draw29% 1. FC Köln33%
Actual: 1. FC Köln win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
67%
Draw or 1. FC Köln
62%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Köln
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0529% Draw48% 1. FC Köln23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push 1. FC Köln covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
30%
1. FC Köln keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.