Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Köln, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 24 Aug 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. FC Köln — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug 1. FC Köln H 0–1 L
18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W
17 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 2–2 D
10 May VfL Bochum 1848 A 4–1 W
04 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
26 Apr FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
17 Aug SSV Jahn Regensburg A 2–1 W
18 May 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 4–0 W
09 May 1. FC Nürnberg A 2–1 W
03 May SSV Jahn Regensburg H 1–1 D
27 Apr Hannover 96 A 0–1 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 1. FC Köln
#6 Position #13
7 Points 4
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 2
10 Scored 6
6 Conceded 9
+4 GD -3
1.75 PPG 1.00
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Köln this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). 1. FC Köln are 13th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Köln
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
1. FC Köln
Thijs Dallinga 2 G
Said El Mala 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

1. FC Köln Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.23 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 1. FC Köln xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0553% Draw24% 1. FC Köln23%
Actual: 1. FC Köln win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
77%
Draw or 1. FC Köln
47%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. FC Köln
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0545% Draw40% 1. FC Köln15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push 1. FC Köln covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 18% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
1. FC Köln keeps clean sheet
12% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.