Thursday , 2 July 2026

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Schalke 04, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct FC Schalke 04 H 1–2 L
28 Sep Hannover 96 A 1–3 L
19 Sep SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 1–3 L
12 Sep 1. FC Magdeburg H 2–0 W
30 Aug Eintracht Braunschweig A 1–1 D
24 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Arminia Bielefeld A 2–1 W
26 Sep SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 1–0 W
20 Sep 1. FC Magdeburg A 2–0 W
13 Sep Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L
31 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W
23 Aug VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Arminia Bielefeld FC Schalke 04
#13 Position #1
39 Points 70
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 21 / 7 / 6
53 Scored 50
51 Conceded 31
+2 GD +19
1.15 PPG 2.06
29% Win % 62%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Arminia Bielefeld this season
41% Clean Sheets
FC Schalke 04 this season

Arminia Bielefeld are 13th (39 pts). FC Schalke 04 are 1st (70 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arminia Bielefeld
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/
61-75
2/1
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Schalke 04
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Arminia Bielefeld Lineups

FC Schalke 04 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07 Arminia Bielefeld xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 FC Schalke 04 xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arminia Bielefeld27% Draw28% FC Schalke 0445%
Actual: FC Schalke 04 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Arminia Bielefeld or Draw
55%
Draw or FC Schalke 04
73%
Arminia Bielefeld or FC Schalke 04
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arminia Bielefeld20% Draw47% FC Schalke 0433%
Actual: FC Schalke 04 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
10.3%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Arminia Bielefeld

Handicap Arminia Bielefeld covers Push FC Schalke 04 covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Arminia Bielefeld keeps clean sheet
22%
FC Schalke 04 keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.