Saturday , 18 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
1. FC Union Berlin
2 – 2
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sat 10 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

8
5
1
1. FC Union Berlin 14 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2024-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2023-08-20 1. FC Union Berlin 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FC Union Berlin
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–2 D
20 Dec 1. FC Koln A 1–0 W
12 Dec RB Leipzig H 3–1 W
06 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 1–3 L
03 Dec FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
29 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–2 L
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
21 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–0 D
14 Dec FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
05 Dec Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–1 L
30 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–4 L
21 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–1 D

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin 1. FSV Mainz 05
#11 Position #10
39 Points 40
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
44 Scored 44
58 Conceded 53
-14 GD -9
1.15 PPG 1.18
29% Win % 29%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. 1. FSV Mainz 05 kicks off things out of here…
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

1. FC Union Berlin Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Taiwo Awoniyi 4
Kevin Behrens 4
Marcus Ingvartsen 3
Nadiem Amiri 2
Daniel Brosinski 2
Sebastian Andersson 2
Marcus Ingvartsen 2
Andrej Ilic 1

Head to Head

2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2024-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin 2023-08-20 1. FC Union Berlin 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FC Union Berlin Form

2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-20 1. FC Koln 0–1 1. FC Union Berlin W 2025-12-12 1. FC Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-12-06 VfL Wolfsburg 3–1 1. FC Union Berlin L 2025-12-03 1. FC Union Berlin 2–3 FC Bayern München L 2025-11-29 1. FC Union Berlin 1–2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 D 2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Monchengladbach L 2025-11-30 SC Freiburg 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-11-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.85 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin47% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0528%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
72%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
53%
1. FC Union Berlin or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin34% Draw42% 1. FSV Mainz 0524%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 20% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.