Friday , 11 September 2026

1. FC Nurnberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 11:00 UTC Max-Morlock-Stadion 39,594 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mahir Emreli 2' 1–0
1–1 20' Tjark Scheller
1–2 49' Ilyas Ansah
1–3 77' Sven Michel
Mahir Emreli 90+2' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Nürnberg vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Max-Morlock-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Prigan (Germany)
  • Assistant 1 Steven Greif
  • Assistant 2 Michael Nather (Germany)
3 games this season 🟨 4.7/game 26.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr SC Paderborn 07 H 2–3 L
12 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 2–1 W
05 Apr Hamburger SV H 0–3 L
30 Mar SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–2 L
16 Mar SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 3–0 W
09 Mar SC Preussen Munster A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr 1. FC Nurnberg A 3–2 W
13 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 1–2 L
04 Apr Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–3 L
29 Mar 1. FC Koln H 1–2 L
15 Mar 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 5–3 W
09 Mar SSV Jahn Regensburg A 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Nurnberg
Mohamed Ali Zoma 4 G
Adam Markhiev 3 G 1 A
Piet Scobel 3 G 1 A
Julian Justvan 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Max-Morlock-Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 2' Mahir Emreli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 2 minutes.
  • 7' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 12' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FC Nurnberg that had 299 games and scored 196 goals.
  • 17' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 18' A tactical swap from 1. FC NurnbergLukas Schleimer on, Jens Castrop off on 18 minutes.
  • 20' What a strike from Tjark Scheller! The score is 1-1.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Adriano Grimaldi made 178 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 40' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FC Nurnberg in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past SC Paderborn 07's compact 3-4-1-2.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ilyas Ansah on 41.
  • 46' 1. FC Nurnberg have won 196 goals from 299 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 49' A goal from the Germany international Ilyas Ansah! He fires home on 49 to make it 1-2!
  • 54' 1. FC Nurnberg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Paderborn 07 backline.
  • 59' Felix Gotze has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 64' Caspar Jander is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Paderborn 07 so far.
  • 65' It is a substitution in SC Paderborn 07 team. Adriano Grimaldi is replaced by Sven Michel on 65 minute.
  • 70' Raphael Obermair was booked on 70.
  • 73' Another substitution for SC Paderborn 07 to replace Marvin Mehlem by Laurin Curda on 73 minute.
  • 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tjark Scheller on 74.
  • 77' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sven Michel makes it 1-3.
  • 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rafael Lubach.
  • 86' Casper Terho gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Ilyas Ansah and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' A tactical swap from 1. FC NurnbergOliver Rose-Villadsen on, Tim Janisch off on 88 minutes.
  • 89' The referee shows 1. FC Nurnberg player a card on 89.
  • 90' Casper Terho has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • The points are shared — 1. FC Nurnberg 2-3 SC Paderborn 07. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 1. FC Nürnberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Nürnberg or SC Paderborn 07 73% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Nürnberg35% Draw27% SC Paderborn 0738%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

1. FC Nürnberg or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
65%
1. FC Nürnberg or SC Paderborn 07
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Nürnberg27% Draw43% SC Paderborn 0730%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nürnberg

Handicap 1. FC Nürnberg covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 19% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Nürnberg keeps clean sheet
20%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.