Friday , 24 July 2026

1. FC Nürnberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 11:00 UTC Max-Morlock-Stadion 39,594 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mahir Emreli 2' 1–0
1–1 20' Tjark Scheller
1–2 49' Ilyas Ansah
1–3 77' Sven Michel
Mahir Emreli 90+2' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Nürnberg vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Max-Morlock-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Prigan (Germany)
  • Assistant 1 Steven Greif
  • Assistant 2 Michael Nather (Germany)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr SC Paderborn 07 H 2–3 L
12 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 2–1 W
05 Apr Hamburger SV H 0–3 L
30 Mar SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–2 L
16 Mar SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 3–0 W
09 Mar SC Preußen Münster A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr 1. FC Nürnberg A 3–2 W
13 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 1–2 L
04 Apr Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–3 L
29 Mar 1. FC Köln H 1–2 L
15 Mar 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 5–3 W
09 Mar SSV Jahn Regensburg A 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FC Nürnberg SC Paderborn 07
#8 Position #3
46 Points 62
34 Played 34
12 / 10 / 12 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
47 Scored 59
45 Conceded 45
+2 GD +14
1.35 PPG 1.82
35% Win % 53%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FC Nürnberg are 8th (46 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FC Nurnberg and SC Paderborn 07 has kicked off!
  • 2' Mahir Emreli doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 7' Raphael Obermair has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 12' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 17' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 17 minutes.
  • 18' 1. FC Nurnberg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lukas Schleimer is hanging Jens Castrop on the field on 18 minute.
  • 20' The Germany Tjark Scheller breaks the deadlock on 20 minutes. 1-1!
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FC Nurnberg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FC Nurnberg and SC Paderborn 07 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' SC Paderborn 07 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 41' Ilyas Ansah was booked on 41.
  • 46' Finland international Casper Terho has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 49' Ilyas Ansah adds to his 0 season tally! SC Paderborn 07 lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' Ondrej Karafiat is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Paderborn 07 so far.
  • 59' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FC Nurnberg and SC Paderborn 07 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Miroslav Klose will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 65' Sven Michel gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Adriano Grimaldi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' The referee has no hesitation. Raphael Obermair is booked for SC Paderborn 07 — card on 70.
  • 73' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Laurin Curda is hanging Marvin Mehlem on the field on 73 minute.
  • 74' The referee has no hesitation. Tjark Scheller is booked for SC Paderborn 07 — card on 74.
  • 77' What a strike from Sven Michel! The score is 1-3.
  • 81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rafael Lubach on 81 minutes.
  • 86' SC Paderborn 07 ring the changes. Ilyas Ansah has done his job and it is now time for Casper Terho to step up.
  • 88' Oliver Rose-Villadsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tim Janisch at the 88 minute mark.
  • 89' Berkay Yilmaz is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
  • 90' The referee shows SC Paderborn 07 player a card on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. SC Paderborn 07 take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.63 1. FC Nürnberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Nürnberg or SC Paderborn 07 74% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Nürnberg34% Draw26% SC Paderborn 0740%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

1. FC Nürnberg or Draw
60%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
66%
1. FC Nürnberg or SC Paderborn 07
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Nürnberg26% Draw41% SC Paderborn 0733%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.9%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nürnberg

Handicap 1. FC Nürnberg covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 16% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 19% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 13% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Nürnberg keeps clean sheet
16%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.