1. FC Nurnberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Nürnberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Max-Morlock-Stadion.
- 1. FC Nürnberg 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Prigan (Germany)
- Assistant 1 Steven Greif
- Assistant 2 Michael Nather (Germany)
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 21.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | Hamburger SV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Mar | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | SC Preußen Münster | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 5–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season
1. FC Nurnberg this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FC Nurnberg
| Mohamed Ali Zoma | 7 G | |
| Piet Scobel | 6 G | 1 A |
| Adam Markhiev | 3 G | 3 A |
| Julian Justvan | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Max-Morlock-Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 2' GOAL! Mahir Emreli fires home to make it 1-0!
- 7' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 326 games and scored 238 goals.
- 12' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 17' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
- 18' 1. FC Nurnberg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lukas Schleimer is hanging Jens Castrop on the field on 18 minute.
- 20' The deadlock is broken! Tjark Scheller gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
- 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 30' 1. FC Nurnberg are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against SC Paderborn 07's 3-4-1-2 shape.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Max-Morlock-Stadion. 1. FC Nurnberg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 41' Ilyas Ansah was booked on 41.
- 46' South Korea international Jens Castrop has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 49' Ilyas Ansah has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
- 54' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 54 minutes.
- 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 64' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 65' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Sven Michel on, Adriano Grimaldi off on 65 minutes.
- 70' Raphael Obermair picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 73' SC Paderborn 07 make a change. Marvin Mehlem trudges off to be replaced by Laurin Curda on 73 minutes.
- 74' Controversy at the stadium! Tjark Scheller argues furiously but the card stands.
- 77' Sven Michel makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and SC Paderborn 07 are in front.
- 81' Rafael Lubach catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
- 86' SC Paderborn 07 make a change. Ilyas Ansah trudges off to be replaced by Casper Terho on 86 minutes.
- 88' The 1. FC Nurnberg bench stirs into life. Tim Janisch is withdrawn and Oliver Rose-Villadsen gets his opportunity.
- 89' The referee shows 1. FC Nurnberg player a card on 89.
- 90' That is a card for SC Paderborn 07. Casper Terho will be fuming at that decision.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from SC Paderborn 07 to claim maximum points.
Lineups
1. FC Nürnberg Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 30
- 1
- 10
- 44
- 17
- 20
- 4
- 5
- 18
- 32
- 21
Bench
- 23
- 3
- 22
- 26
- 6
- 2
- 36
- 34
- 33
Coach
Miroslav Klose
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 20
- 1
-
6
Marvin Mehlem ↓ Laurin Curda 73'
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↓ Sven Michel 65'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Luis Engelns 86'
- 33
- 32
- 22
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Casper Terho 86'
- 25
Bench
- 30
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 65'
-
24
Casper Terho ↑ 86'
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 86'
- 4
-
17
Laurin Curda ↑ 73'
- 43
-
46
Luis Engelns ↑ 86'
- 21
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adriano Grimaldi | 3 |
| Mahir Emreli | 2 |
| Sven Michel | 1 |
| Lukas Schleimer | 1 |
| Ilyas Ansah | 1 |
| Jens Castrop | 1 |
| Tjark Scheller | 1 |
| Kanji Okunuki | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FC Nürnberg Form
2025-04-19
1. FC Nurnberg
2–3
SC Paderborn 07
W
2025-04-12
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
1. FC Nurnberg
W
2025-04-05
1. FC Nurnberg
0–3
Hamburger SV
W
2025-03-30
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2–1
1. FC Nurnberg
L
2025-03-16
1. FC Nurnberg
3–0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
L
2025-03-09
SC Preußen Münster
0–1
1. FC Nurnberg
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2025-04-19
1. FC Nurnberg
2–3
SC Paderborn 07
W
2025-04-13
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2025-04-04
Eintracht Braunschweig
3–2
SC Paderborn 07
L
2025-03-29
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Koln
L
2025-03-15
SC Paderborn 07
5–3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
W
2025-03-09
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0–0
SC Paderborn 07
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56
1. FC Nürnberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
1. FC Nürnberg or SC Paderborn 07 73% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
65%
1. FC Nürnberg or SC Paderborn 07
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nürnberg
| Handicap | 1. FC Nürnberg covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Nürnberg keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

