1. FC Nurnberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Nürnberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Max-Morlock-Stadion.
- 1. FC Nürnberg 6 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Prigan (Germany)
- Assistant 1 Steven Greif
- Assistant 2 Michael Nather (Germany)
3 games this season
🟨 4.7/game
⚽ 26.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Energie Cottbus | 6 | 8 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | VfL Osnabruck | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 5 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | Hamburger SV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Mar | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | SC Preußen Münster | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Nurnberg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 5–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season
1. FC Nurnberg this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FC Nurnberg
| Mohamed Ali Zoma | 6 G | |
| Julian Justvan | 3 G | 1 A |
| Adam Markhiev | 3 G | 1 A |
| Piet Scobel | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Max-Morlock-Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 2' Mahir Emreli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 2 minutes.
- 7' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 12' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FC Nurnberg that had 299 games and scored 196 goals.
- 17' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 18' A tactical swap from 1. FC Nurnberg — Lukas Schleimer on, Jens Castrop off on 18 minutes.
- 20' What a strike from Tjark Scheller! The score is 1-1.
- 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Adriano Grimaldi made 178 appearances and scored 19 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FC Nurnberg in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past SC Paderborn 07's compact 3-4-1-2.
- 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ilyas Ansah on 41.
- 46' 1. FC Nurnberg have won 196 goals from 299 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 49' A goal from the Germany international Ilyas Ansah! He fires home on 49 to make it 1-2!
- 54' 1. FC Nurnberg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Paderborn 07 backline.
- 59' Felix Gotze has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 64' Caspar Jander is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Paderborn 07 so far.
- 65' It is a substitution in SC Paderborn 07 team. Adriano Grimaldi is replaced by Sven Michel on 65 minute.
- 70' Raphael Obermair was booked on 70.
- 73' Another substitution for SC Paderborn 07 to replace Marvin Mehlem by Laurin Curda on 73 minute.
- 74' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tjark Scheller on 74.
- 77' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Sven Michel makes it 1-3.
- 81' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rafael Lubach.
- 86' Casper Terho gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Ilyas Ansah and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' A tactical swap from 1. FC Nurnberg — Oliver Rose-Villadsen on, Tim Janisch off on 88 minutes.
- 89' The referee shows 1. FC Nurnberg player a card on 89.
- 90' Casper Terho has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- The points are shared — 1. FC Nurnberg 2-3 SC Paderborn 07. Honours even.
Lineups
1. FC Nürnberg Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 30
- 1
- 10
- 44
- 17
- 20
- 4
- 5
- 18
- 32
- 21
Bench
- 23
- 3
- 22
- 26
- 6
- 2
- 36
- 34
- 33
Coach
Miroslav Klose
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 20
- 1
-
6
Marvin Mehlem ↓ Laurin Curda 73'
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↓ Sven Michel 65'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Luis Engelns 86'
- 33
- 32
- 22
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Casper Terho 86'
- 25
Bench
- 30
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 65'
-
24
Casper Terho ↑ 86'
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 86'
- 4
-
17
Laurin Curda ↑ 73'
- 43
-
46
Luis Engelns ↑ 86'
- 21
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adriano Grimaldi | 3 |
| Mahir Emreli | 2 |
| Sven Michel | 1 |
| Lukas Schleimer | 1 |
| Ilyas Ansah | 1 |
| Jens Castrop | 1 |
| Tjark Scheller | 1 |
| Kanji Okunuki | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FC Nürnberg Form
2025-04-19
1. FC Nurnberg
2–3
SC Paderborn 07
W
2025-04-12
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
1. FC Nurnberg
W
2025-04-05
1. FC Nurnberg
0–3
Hamburger SV
W
2025-03-30
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2–1
1. FC Nurnberg
L
2025-03-16
1. FC Nurnberg
3–0
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
L
2025-03-09
SC Preußen Münster
0–1
1. FC Nurnberg
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2025-04-19
1. FC Nurnberg
2–3
SC Paderborn 07
W
2025-04-13
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2025-04-04
Eintracht Braunschweig
3–2
SC Paderborn 07
L
2025-03-29
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Koln
L
2025-03-15
SC Paderborn 07
5–3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
W
2025-03-09
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0–0
SC Paderborn 07
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56
1. FC Nürnberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
1. FC Nürnberg or SC Paderborn 07 73% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
65%
1. FC Nürnberg or SC Paderborn 07
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nürnberg
| Handicap | 1. FC Nürnberg covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 18% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Nürnberg keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

