Thursday , 12 November 2026

1. FC Nurnberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 19 Apr 2025 · 11:00 UTC Max-Morlock-Stadion 39,594 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mahir Emreli 2' 1–0
1–1 20' Tjark Scheller
1–2 49' Ilyas Ansah
1–3 77' Sven Michel
Mahir Emreli 90+2' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Nürnberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Max-Morlock-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Prigan (Germany)
  • Assistant 1 Steven Greif
  • Assistant 2 Michael Nather (Germany)
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 21.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr SC Paderborn 07 H 2–3 L
12 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 2–1 W
05 Apr Hamburger SV H 0–3 L
30 Mar SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–2 L
16 Mar SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 3–0 W
09 Mar SC Preußen Münster A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Apr 1. FC Nurnberg A 3–2 W
13 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 1–2 L
04 Apr Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–3 L
29 Mar 1. FC Koln H 1–2 L
15 Mar 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 5–3 W
09 Mar SSV Jahn Regensburg A 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Nurnberg
Mohamed Ali Zoma 7 G
Piet Scobel 6 G 1 A
Adam Markhiev 3 G 3 A
Julian Justvan 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Max-Morlock-Stadion. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 2' GOAL! Mahir Emreli fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 7' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 326 games and scored 238 goals.
  • 12' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 17' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 18' 1. FC Nurnberg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lukas Schleimer is hanging Jens Castrop on the field on 18 minute.
  • 20' The deadlock is broken! Tjark Scheller gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' 1. FC Nurnberg are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against SC Paderborn 07's 3-4-1-2 shape.
  • 35' A quiet spell here at Max-Morlock-Stadion. 1. FC Nurnberg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 41' Ilyas Ansah was booked on 41.
  • 46' South Korea international Jens Castrop has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 49' Ilyas Ansah has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 49 minutes.
  • 54' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 54 minutes.
  • 59' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 64' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 65' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Sven Michel on, Adriano Grimaldi off on 65 minutes.
  • 70' Raphael Obermair picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 73' SC Paderborn 07 make a change. Marvin Mehlem trudges off to be replaced by Laurin Curda on 73 minutes.
  • 74' Controversy at the stadium! Tjark Scheller argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 77' Sven Michel makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and SC Paderborn 07 are in front.
  • 81' Rafael Lubach catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 81.
  • 86' SC Paderborn 07 make a change. Ilyas Ansah trudges off to be replaced by Casper Terho on 86 minutes.
  • 88' The 1. FC Nurnberg bench stirs into life. Tim Janisch is withdrawn and Oliver Rose-Villadsen gets his opportunity.
  • 89' The referee shows 1. FC Nurnberg player a card on 89.
  • 90' That is a card for SC Paderborn 07. Casper Terho will be fuming at that decision.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from SC Paderborn 07 to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.56 1. FC Nürnberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Nürnberg or SC Paderborn 07 73% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Nürnberg35% Draw27% SC Paderborn 0738%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

1. FC Nürnberg or Draw
62%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
65%
1. FC Nürnberg or SC Paderborn 07
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Nürnberg27% Draw43% SC Paderborn 0730%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
5.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
1 – 0
5.4%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
Actual

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nürnberg

Handicap 1. FC Nürnberg covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 19% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Nürnberg keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.