1. FC Nürnberg vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FC Nürnberg vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Max-Morlock-Stadion.
- 1. FC Nürnberg 34 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Prigan (Germany)
- Assistant 1 Steven Greif
- Assistant 2 Michael Nather (Germany)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preußen Münster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Apr | Hamburger SV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Mar | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | SC Preußen Münster | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Nürnberg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Apr | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Köln | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 5–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FC Nürnberg | SC Paderborn 07 | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #3 |
| 46 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 47 | Scored | 59 |
| 45 | Conceded | 45 |
| +2 | GD | +14 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 35% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
1. FC Nürnberg are 8th (46 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FC Nurnberg and SC Paderborn 07 has kicked off!
- 2' Mahir Emreli doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 7' Raphael Obermair has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 12' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 17' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 17 minutes.
- 18' 1. FC Nurnberg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lukas Schleimer is hanging Jens Castrop on the field on 18 minute.
- 20' The Germany Tjark Scheller breaks the deadlock on 20 minutes. 1-1!
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FC Nurnberg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FC Nurnberg and SC Paderborn 07 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 40' SC Paderborn 07 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 41' Ilyas Ansah was booked on 41.
- 46' Finland international Casper Terho has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 49' Ilyas Ansah adds to his 0 season tally! SC Paderborn 07 lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 54' Ondrej Karafiat is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Paderborn 07 so far.
- 59' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FC Nurnberg and SC Paderborn 07 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Miroslav Klose will be considering his options from the bench.
- 65' Sven Michel gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Adriano Grimaldi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' The referee has no hesitation. Raphael Obermair is booked for SC Paderborn 07 — card on 70.
- 73' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Laurin Curda is hanging Marvin Mehlem on the field on 73 minute.
- 74' The referee has no hesitation. Tjark Scheller is booked for SC Paderborn 07 — card on 74.
- 77' What a strike from Sven Michel! The score is 1-3.
- 81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rafael Lubach on 81 minutes.
- 86' SC Paderborn 07 ring the changes. Ilyas Ansah has done his job and it is now time for Casper Terho to step up.
- 88' Oliver Rose-Villadsen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tim Janisch at the 88 minute mark.
- 89' Berkay Yilmaz is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
- 90' The referee shows SC Paderborn 07 player a card on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. SC Paderborn 07 take all three points.
Lineups
1. FC Nürnberg Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 30
- 1
- 10
- 44
- 17
- 20
- 4
- 5
- 18
- 32
- 21
Bench
- 23
- 3
- 22
- 26
- 6
- 2
- 36
- 34
- 33
Coach
Miroslav Klose
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 20
- 1
-
6
Marvin Mehlem ↓ Laurin Curda 73'
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↓ Sven Michel 65'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Luis Engelns 86'
- 33
- 32
- 22
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Casper Terho 86'
- 25
Bench
- 30
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 65'
-
24
Casper Terho ↑ 86'
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 86'
- 4
-
17
Laurin Curda ↑ 73'
- 43
-
46
Luis Engelns ↑ 86'
- 21
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adriano Grimaldi | 3 |
| Mahir Emreli | 2 |
| Visar Musliu | 1 |
| Danilo Soares | 1 |
| Stefanos Tzimas | 1 |
| Raphael Obermair | 1 |
| Calvin Brackelmann | 1 |
| Sven Michel | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FC Nürnberg Form
2025-04-19
1. FC Nürnberg
2–3
SC Paderborn 07
L
2025-04-12
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
1. FC Nürnberg
W
2025-04-05
1. FC Nürnberg
0–3
Hamburger SV
L
2025-03-30
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2–1
1. FC Nürnberg
L
2025-03-16
1. FC Nürnberg
3–0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
W
2025-03-09
SC Preußen Münster
0–1
1. FC Nürnberg
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2025-04-19
1. FC Nürnberg
2–3
SC Paderborn 07
W
2025-04-13
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2025-04-04
Eintracht Braunschweig
3–2
SC Paderborn 07
L
2025-03-29
SC Paderborn 07
1–2
1. FC Köln
L
2025-03-15
SC Paderborn 07
5–3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
W
2025-03-09
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0–0
SC Paderborn 07
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.63
1. FC Nürnberg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
1. FC Nürnberg or SC Paderborn 07 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw
60%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
66%
1. FC Nürnberg or SC Paderborn 07
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
8.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
5.2%
0 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 1
3.9%
Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nürnberg
| Handicap | 1. FC Nürnberg covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
1. FC Nürnberg keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

