Yokohama F·Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Yokohama F·Marinos

0 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Wed 3 Jul 2024 · 10:00 UTC Nippatsu Mitsuzawa Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 71' Taichi Kikuchi

Overview

Match Preview

Yokohama F·Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Nippatsu Mitsuzawa Stadium.

Yokohama F·Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yuichi Nishimura

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Yokohama F·Marinos 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-07-03 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-09-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F·Marinos 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F·Marinos 2022-03-18 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Yokohama F·Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jul	Sagan Tosu FC	H	0–1	L
29 Jun	Tōkyō Verdy	H	1–2	L
26 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–2	L
23 Jun	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–0	W
19 Jun	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	3–2	W
15 Jun	FC Machida Zelvia	H	1–3	L

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Jul	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–0	W
30 Jun	Kashiwa Reysol	H	1–4	L
26 Jun	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
22 Jun	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	3–0	W
16 Jun	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–2	L
31 May	FC Tōkyō	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F·Marinos this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Yokohama F·Marinos

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Yokohama F.Marinos have kicked off against Sagan Tosu FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Yokohama F.Marinos must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' Wataru Harada has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 279 appearances.
15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Yokohama F.Marinos and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
20' Takuya Kida has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
25' The whistle greets Taisei Inoue as he departs to be replaced by Yoichi Naganuma.
30' Yoichi Naganuma has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
35' It is a cagey affair so far. Yokohama F.Marinos in their trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact .
40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
45' Yokohama F.Marinos are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
53' Brilliant from the ! Ayumu Yokoyama makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 53.
58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
60' A tactical swap from Yokohama F.Marinos — Ren Kato on, Hijiri Kato off on 60 minutes.
65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Taichi Kikuchi suffering a number of foals already.
67' The Yokohama F.Marinos bench stirs into life. Jun Amano is withdrawn and Riku Yamane gets his opportunity.
71' A meaty challenge results in booking for Taichi Kikuchi on 71.
75' The whistle greets Taichi Kikuchi as he departs to be replaced by Kohei Tezuka.
79' The whistle greets Ken Matsubara as he departs to be replaced by Tae-Hee Nam.
84' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
89' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Yokohama F.Marinos 0-1 Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Yokohama F·Marinos Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Seiji Kimura
22
Cayman Togashi
99
Marcelo Ryan
71
Il-kyu Park
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Kohei Tezuka 75'
42
Wataru Harada
2
Kosuke Yamazaki
5
So Kawahara ↓ Akito Fukuta 60'
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↓ Katsunori Ueebisu 75'
18
Shota Hino ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 75'
29
Taisei Inoue ↓ Yoichi Naganuma 25'

Bench

6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 60'
7
Kohei Tezuka ↑ 75'
16
Katsunori Ueebisu ↑ 75'
88
Yoichi Naganuma ↑ 25'
8
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 75'
21
Yuki Horigome
1
Arnau Riera

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erik	3
Kota Mizunuma	2
Daizen Maeda	2
Marcos Junior	2
Yan Santos	2
Leo Ceara	2
Yoichi Naganuma	1
Riki Harakawa	1

Head to Head

Yokohama F·Marinos Form

2024-07-03 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-29 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–2 Tōkyō Verdy L 2024-06-26 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Yokohama F·Marinos L 2024-06-23 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Yokohama F·Marinos W 2024-06-19 Yokohama F·Marinos 3–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2024-06-15 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–3 FC Machida Zelvia L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-07-03 Yokohama F·Marinos 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-06-30 Sagan Tosu FC 1–4 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-06-22 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2024-06-16 Avispa Fukuoka 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tōkyō L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.18 Yokohama F·Marinos xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.09 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Yokohama F·Marinos or Sagan Tosu FC 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Yokohama F·Marinos37% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC32%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.27

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Yokohama F·Marinos or Draw

68%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

63%

Yokohama F·Marinos or Sagan Tosu FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Yokohama F·Marinos26% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC23%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 0

12.6%

1 – 0

11%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

2 – 0

6.9%

0 – 2

5.9%

2 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

3 – 0

2.7%

1 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Yokohama F·Marinos

Handicap	Yokohama F·Marinos covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	21%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	19%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Yokohama F·Marinos keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.