AFC Ajax vs Willem II Tilburg, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs Willem II Tilburg — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- Willem II Tilburg 7 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bas Nijhuis
- Assistant 1 Freek Vandeursen
- Assistant 2 Maarten Ketting
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | Willem II Tilburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Qarabag Agdam FK | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | Heracles Almelo | A | 4–3 | W |
| 06 Oct | FC Groningen | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | SK Slavia Praha | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | RKC Waalwijk | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | AFC Ajax | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | Fortuna Sittard | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Almere City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | PSV | H | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | FC Utrecht | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Sep | RKC Waalwijk | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | Willem II Tilburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #18 |
| 14 | Points | 2 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 4 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 0 / 2 / 5 |
| 21 | Scored | 6 |
| 9 | Conceded | 20 |
| +12 | GD | -14 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 0.29 |
| 57% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Willem II Tilburg this season
Willem II Tilburg this season
AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). Willem II Tilburg are 18th (2 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Willem II Tilburg
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/5
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/8
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Willem II Tilburg
| Devin Haen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Verheydt | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Johan Cruijff Arena. AFC Ajax are looking to make home advantage count against Willem II Tilburg.
- 5' Miodrag Pivas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 6' Davy Klaassen doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 11' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 16' Willem II Tilburg are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 21' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Francesco Farioli will be considering his options from the bench.
- 26' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Willem II Tilburg that had 172 games and scored 220 goals.
- 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 36' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Ajax and Willem II Tilburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 41' Willem II Tilburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 46' Over 46 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 51' Willem II Tilburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
- 55' Controversy at the stadium! Anton Gaaei argues furiously but the card stands.
- 60' Willem II Tilburg have won 220 goals from 172 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 64' Kenneth Taylor is replacing Owen Wijndal for the AFC Ajax side.
- 65' Josip Sutalo gets the nod from AFC Ajax. He replaces Daniele Rugani and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' Willem II Tilburg ring the changes. Cisse Sandra has done his job and it is now time for Amar Ahmed Fatah to step up.
- 75' Supporters expect more eagerness from Amar Ahmed Fatah, as he is very good at scoring at Johan Cruijff Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 77' Mika Godts has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bertrand Traore on 77 minute.
- 82' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 83' The supporters are chanting for Miodrag Pivas. He replaces Amine Lachkar on 83 minute.
- 84' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Davy Klaassen has done his job and it is now time for Jorrel Hato to step up.
- 89' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Willem II Tilburg's compact 5-3-2.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
-
18
Davy Klaassen ↓ Jorrel Hato 84'
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↓ Kenneth Taylor 64'
-
20
Bertrand Traore ↓ Mika Godts 77'
-
24
Daniele Rugani ↓ Josip Sutalo 65'
- 40
- 21
- 13
- 9
- 15
- 33
- 3
Bench
-
6
Jordan Henderson ↑ 77'
- 22
- 25
- 10
- 12
-
37
Josip Sutalo ↑ 65'
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↑ 64'
- 2
- 28
-
4
Jorrel Hato ↑ 84'
- 29
-
11
Mika Godts ↑ 77'
Coach
Francesco Farioli
Willem II Tilburg Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 8
-
9
Kyan Vaesen ↓ Jeremy Bokila 70'
- 16
- 33
- 6
-
14
Cisse Sandra ↓ Amar Ahmed Fatah 70'
- 30
-
34
Amine Lachkar ↓ Miodrag Pivas 83'
- 5
Bench
- 17
-
18
Jeremy Bokila ↑ 70'
- 24
- 20
- 41
- 7
-
22
Rob Nizet ↑ 70'
- 11
- 48
-
21
Amar Ahmed Fatah ↑ 70'
- 50
-
15
Miodrag Pivas ↑ 83'
Coach
Peter Maes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Davy Klaassen | 4 |
| Antony | 3 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Jurrien Timber | 1 |
| Damil Dankerlui | 1 |
| Wout Weghorst | 1 |
| Mike Ndayishimye | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Willem II Tilburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.5
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55
Willem II Tilburg xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 83% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.05
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
94%
Draw or Willem II Tilburg
17%
AFC Ajax or Willem II Tilburg
89%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 0
12.6%
2 – 0
11.3%
4 – 0
10.8%
5 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
6.7%
1 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
5.9%
2 – 1
5.9%
6 – 0
4.5%
5 – 1
4.2%
1 – 1
3.9%
0 – 0
2.6%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | Willem II Tilburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| -2 | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| -1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| -1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| -0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +0.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +1 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
58%
✓
Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
