Thursday , 2 July 2026

AFC Ajax vs Willem II Tilburg, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 27 Oct 2024 · 15:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 53,359 HT 45' · FT 45'
Davy Klaassen pen 6' 1–0
Anton Gaaei 55' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Willem II TilburgEredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Freek Vandeursen
  • Assistant 2 Maarten Ketting

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Willem II Tilburg H 1–0 W
24 Oct Qarabag Agdam FK A 3–0 W
20 Oct Heracles Almelo A 4–3 W
06 Oct FC Groningen H 3–1 W
03 Oct SK Slavia Praha A 1–1 D
29 Sep RKC Waalwijk A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct AFC Ajax A 0–1 L
20 Oct Fortuna Sittard H 0–0 D
04 Oct Almere City FC A 1–0 W
28 Sep PSV H 0–2 L
21 Sep FC Utrecht A 2–3 L
15 Sep RKC Waalwijk H 3–0 W

Season Stats

AFC Ajax Willem II Tilburg
#2 Position #18
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AFC Ajax are 2nd (0 pts). Willem II Tilburg are 18th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AFC Ajax kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 6' What a strike from Davy Klaassen! The score is 1-0.
  • 11' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AFC Ajax that had 480 games and scored 817 goals.
  • 16' It’s high time Francesco Farioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 21' Willem II Tilburg is showing some good football. However, Willem II Tilburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 26' Daniele Rugani needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 31' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Ajax needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ahmetcan Kaplan made 18 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 41' The travelling Willem II Tilburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 46' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Anton Gaaei on 55.
  • 60' It looks like no one’s ball. Willem II Tilburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 64' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Owen Wijndal departs to be replaced by Kenneth Taylor.
  • 65' Josip Sutalo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniele Rugani on 65 minute.
  • 70' Another change for Willem II Tilburg made on 70 minute. Cisse Sandra leaves to be changed by Amar Ahmed Fatah.
  • 75' AFC Ajax seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 77' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Bertrand Traore by Mika Godts on 77 minute.
  • 82' Willem II Tilburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 83' Another change for Willem II Tilburg made on 83 minute. Amine Lachkar leaves to be changed by Miodrag Pivas.
  • 84' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Davy Klaassen departs to be replaced by Jorrel Hato.
  • 89' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • Another three points for AFC Ajax.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.91 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.3 Willem II Tilburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax54% Draw35% Willem II Tilburg11%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes17% 0% No83%
Avg goals/match: 1.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 68%
32%
± 1.5 35%
65%
± 2.5 13%
87%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
89%
Draw or Willem II Tilburg
46%
AFC Ajax or Willem II Tilburg
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax27% Draw67% Willem II Tilburg6%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
32.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11.5%
1 – 1
9%
0 – 1
7.2%
2 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
1.4%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.8%
2 – 2
0.7%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push Willem II Tilburg covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 13% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 30% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 9% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
74%
Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.