AFC Ajax vs Willem II Tilburg, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs Willem II Tilburg — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
- AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
- Willem II Tilburg 12 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bas Nijhuis
- Assistant 1 Freek Vandeursen
- Assistant 2 Maarten Ketting
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | Willem II Tilburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Qarabag Agdam FK | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | Heracles Almelo | A | 4–3 | W |
| 06 Oct | FC Groningen | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Oct | SK Slavia Praha | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Sep | RKC Waalwijk | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | AFC Ajax | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | Fortuna Sittard | H | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Almere City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | PSV | H | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | FC Utrecht | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Sep | RKC Waalwijk | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | Willem II Tilburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #18 |
| 25 | Points | 3 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 7 / 4 / 1 | W / D / L | 0 / 3 / 9 |
| 32 | Scored | 11 |
| 15 | Conceded | 40 |
| +17 | GD | -29 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 0.25 |
| 58% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Willem II Tilburg this season
Willem II Tilburg this season
AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts). Willem II Tilburg are 18th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Willem II Tilburg
0-15
2/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/7
46-60
1/7
61-75
2/11
76+
5/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Willem II Tilburg
| Devin Haen | 3 G | 2 A |
| Thomas Verheydt | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AFC Ajax and Willem II Tilburg get this one started.
- 5' AFC Ajax are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 6' What composure from Davy Klaassen! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 11' Kyan Vaesen is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AFC Ajax tonight.
- 16' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 21' AFC Ajax has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 26' Belgium international Mickael Tirpan has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Peter Maes will be considering his options from the bench.
- 36' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 46' Owen Wijndal is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
- 51' Willem II Tilburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 55' Anton Gaaei is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
- 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
- 64' AFC Ajax make a change. Owen Wijndal trudges off to be replaced by Kenneth Taylor on 64 minutes.
- 65' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Daniele Rugani has done his job and it is now time for Josip Sutalo to step up.
- 70' The whistle greets Cisse Sandra as he departs to be replaced by Amar Ahmed Fatah.
- 75' AFC Ajax is showing some good football. However, AFC Ajax are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 77' Mika Godts has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bertrand Traore on 77 minute.
- 82' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Daniele Rugani suffering a number of foals already.
- 83' Miodrag Pivas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Amine Lachkar on 83 minute.
- 84' Davy Klaassen makes way for Jorrel Hato at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
- 89' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Willem II Tilburg's compact 5-3-2.
- With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
-
18
Davy Klaassen ↓ Jorrel Hato 84'
-
5
Owen Wijndal ↓ Kenneth Taylor 64'
-
20
Bertrand Traore ↓ Mika Godts 77'
-
24
Daniele Rugani ↓ Josip Sutalo 65'
- 40
- 21
- 13
- 9
- 15
- 33
- 3
Bench
-
6
Jordan Henderson ↑ 77'
- 22
- 25
- 10
- 12
-
37
Josip Sutalo ↑ 65'
-
8
Kenneth Taylor ↑ 64'
- 2
- 28
-
4
Jorrel Hato ↑ 84'
- 29
-
11
Mika Godts ↑ 77'
Coach
Francesco Farioli
Willem II Tilburg Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 8
-
9
Kyan Vaesen ↓ Jeremy Bokila 70'
- 16
- 33
- 6
-
14
Cisse Sandra ↓ Amar Ahmed Fatah 70'
- 30
-
34
Amine Lachkar ↓ Miodrag Pivas 83'
- 5
Bench
- 17
-
18
Jeremy Bokila ↑ 70'
- 24
- 20
- 41
- 7
-
22
Rob Nizet ↑ 70'
- 11
- 48
-
21
Amar Ahmed Fatah ↑ 70'
- 50
-
15
Miodrag Pivas ↑ 83'
Coach
Peter Maes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Davy Klaassen | 4 |
| Antony | 3 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Oliver Edvardsen | 1 |
| Emilio Kehrer | 1 |
| Kwasi Okyere Wriedt | 1 |
| Julian Brandt | 1 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Willem II Tilburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.54
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55
Willem II Tilburg xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 83% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.09
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
94%
Draw or Willem II Tilburg
17%
AFC Ajax or Willem II Tilburg
89%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
11.1%
4 – 0
10.8%
5 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
6.7%
1 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
6 – 0
4.6%
5 – 1
4.3%
1 – 1
3.8%
6 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | Willem II Tilburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| -2 | 55% | 20% | 25% |
| -1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| -1 | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| -0.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +0.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +1 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
58%
✓
Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
