Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 23 Sep 2023 · 14:00 UTC Riverside HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 17' Adam Armstrong
Riley McGree 44' 1–1
Jonny Howson pen 66' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Southampton FCChampionship at Riverside.

Match Details

  • Referee Tim Robinson
  • Assistant 1 Marc Perry
  • Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)

Head-to-Head

2
3
1
Middlesbrough FC 6 games · Avg 2.3 goals Southampton FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Sep Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
19 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 0–1 L
15 Sep Leicester City FC H 1–4 L
02 Sep Sunderland AFC A 0–5 L
26 Aug Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W
19 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Southampton FC
#5 Position #4
80 Points 80
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 22 / 14 / 10
72 Scored 82
47 Conceded 56
+25 GD +26
1.74 PPG 1.74
48% Win % 48%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Riverside. Middlesbrough FC are looking to make home advantage count against Southampton FC.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' William Smallbone is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Southampton FC tonight.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Riverside. Middlesbrough FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 17' A stunning finish from Adam Armstrong — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 22' Southampton FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 27' The travelling Southampton FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 32' Josh Coburn has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 37' Guyana international Isaiah Jones has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 42' The energy levels are beginning to show. Michael Carrick might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 44' Riley McGree makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Middlesbrough FC are in front.
  • 46' A change in the Southampton FC ranks — Mason Holgate exits the field as Ryan Manning enters on 46.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 53' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Isaiah Jones.
  • 58' Middlesbrough FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 58.
  • 63' Middlesbrough FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 66' GOAL! Jonny Howson scores on 66.
  • 69' Another substitution for Middlesbrough FC to replace Matt Crooks by Sam Greenwood on 69 minute.
  • 72' Samuel Edozie is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shea Charles at the 72 minute mark.
  • 73' Stuart Armstrong gets the nod from Southampton FC. He replaces Che Adams and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Joe Aribo. He replaces William Smallbone on 83 minute.
  • 88' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Isaiah Jones as he leaves the pitch. Sam Silvera steps in for Middlesbrough FC.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Tom Smith is booked for Middlesbrough FC — Yellow card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Middlesbrough FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.86 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC52% Draw24% Southampton FC24%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Southampton FC
48%
Middlesbrough FC or Southampton FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC37% Draw43% Southampton FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
6.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.