Thursday , 2 July 2026

Oxford United FC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Kassam Stadium 11,494 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mark Harris 41' 1–0
Ciaron Brown 53' 2–0
3–1 82' Cian Ashford
3–2 90+5' Callum Robinson

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Cardiff City FCChampionship at Kassam Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Gavin Ward
  • Assistant 1 Lee Venamore
  • Assistant 2 Jacob Graham (England)

Head-to-Head

1
1
Oxford United FC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Cardiff City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Cardiff City FC H 3–2 W
21 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–4 L
14 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–3 L
11 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–2 L
30 Nov Millwall FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Sheffield United FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Oxford United FC A 2–3 L
21 Dec Sheffield United FC H 0–2 L
14 Dec Stoke City FC A 2–2 D
11 Dec Preston North End FC H 0–2 L
30 Nov Coventry City FC A 2–2 D
27 Nov Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Kassam Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Oxford United FC and Cardiff City FC.
  • 5' Cardiff City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jak Alnwick, as he is very good at scoring at Kassam Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Oxford United FC is showing some good football. However, Oxford United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' Callum Robinson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 40' It looks surprising Cardiff City FC does not make any changes. Greg Leigh has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 41' What a strike from Mark Harris! The score is 1-0.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Callum Robinson. He replaces Chris Willock on 46 minute.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jamie Cumming made 409 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 53' Goal! Ciaron Brown scores his 14 goal in 372 matches.
  • 57' GOAL! Przemyslaw Placheta scores on 57.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Cardiff City FC team. Manolis Siopis is replaced by Ronan Kpakio on 59 minute.
  • 64' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Will Vaulks suffering a number of foals already.
  • 68' It is a substitution in Cardiff City FC team. Callum O'Dowda is replaced by Anwar El Ghazi on 68 minute.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Cardiff City FC team. Yakou Meite is replaced by Cian Ashford on 69 minute.
  • 74' The Oxford United FC manager makes a substitution. Ruben Rodrigues departs to be replaced by Matt Phillips.
  • 79' The travelling Cardiff City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 80' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alex Robertson on 80.
  • 82' GOAL! Cian Ashford scores on 82. Assisted by Ronan Kpakio
  • 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Siriki Dembele on 83.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Louie Sibley. He replaces Tyler Goodrham on 88 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Cardiff City FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC48% Draw23% Cardiff City FC29%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
52%
Oxford United FC or Cardiff City FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC34% Draw40% Cardiff City FC26%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 19% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
21%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.