Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 29 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 60,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Bradley Barcola
0–2 17' Ousmane Dembele
0–3 35' Ousmane Dembele
0–4 54' Ousmane Dembele
Chris Fuhrich 77' 1–4

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Paris Saint-Germain FCChampions League at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Davide Massa
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
11 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 8.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

1
VfB Stuttgart 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–4 L
25 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
21 Jan SK Slovan Bratislava A 3–1 W
18 Jan SC Freiburg H 4–0 W
15 Jan RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
12 Jan FC Augsburg A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan VfB Stuttgart A 4–1 W
25 Jan Stade de Reims H 1–1 D
22 Jan Manchester City FC H 4–2 W
18 Jan Racing Club de Lens A 2–1 W
12 Jan AS Saint-Étienne H 2–1 W
18 Dec AS Monaco FC A 4–2 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. VfB Stuttgart kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 6' GOAL! Bradley Barcola scores on 6. Assisted by Desire Doue
  • 11' The travelling Paris Saint-Germain FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 17' What a strike from Ousmane Dembele! The score is 0-2.
  • 22' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfB Stuttgart needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 27' Paris Saint-Germain FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kang-in Lee suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' GOAL! Ousmane Dembele scores on 35. Assisted by Joao Neves
  • 40' Warren Zaire-Emery has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' It’s high time Luis Enrique made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 53' Angelo Stiller is having his name booked by the referee on 53.
  • 54' Ousmane Dembele makes a hat-trick on 54.
  • 59' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 60' Kang-in Lee has so much to prove this time. He replaces Desire Doue on 60 minute.
  • 65' Desire Doue needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 66' It’s gonna be a card for Joao Neves.
  • 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Atakan Karazor.
  • 70' Another change for Paris Saint-Germain FC made on 70 minute. Achraf Hakimi leaves to be changed by Fabian Ruiz.
  • 71' The VfB Stuttgart manager makes a substitution. Angelo Stiller departs to be replaced by Fabian Rieder.
  • 76' Paris Saint-Germain FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 76.
  • 77' GOAL! Chris Fuhrich scores on 77. Assisted by Maximilian Mittelstadt
  • 77' Senny Mayulu is replacing Joao Neves for the Paris Saint-Germain FC side.
  • 78' The whistle greets Jamie Leweling as he departs to be replaced by Yannik Keitel.
  • 83' Supporters expect more eagerness from Deniz Undav, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 16 goals in the last 13 games.
  • 88' It looks like no one’s ball. Paris Saint-Germain FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • Full Time. Paris Saint-Germain FC beats VfB Stuttgart

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.38 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.2 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart26% Draw24% Paris Saint-Germain FC50%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
50%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
74%
VfB Stuttgart or Paris Saint-Germain FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfB Stuttgart20% Draw39% Paris Saint-Germain FC41%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.8%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% 77%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 21% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
12%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.