Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Valenciennes FC vs SC Bastia, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
Sat 27 Jan 2024 · 18:00 UTC Stade du Hainaut HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Valenciennes FC vs SC Bastia — Ligue 2 at Stade du Hainaut.

Match Details

  • Referee Antoine Valnet
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan SC Bastia H 3–1 W
23 Jan FC Girondins de Bordeaux A 1–3 L
13 Jan Amiens SC H 0–1 L
19 Dec AC Ajaccio A 1–2 L
16 Dec Paris FC H 0–1 L
05 Dec Pau FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jan Valenciennes FC A 1–3 L
23 Jan SM Caen H 1–2 L
13 Jan Angers SCO H 2–0 W
19 Dec AS Saint-Étienne A 2–3 L
16 Dec US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole H 0–0 D
05 Dec USL Dunkerque A 5–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SC Bastia gets underway.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tom Ducrocq made 452 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 8' Brilliant from the ! Yllan Okou makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 8.
  • 13' Benjamin Santelli, a France , has 25 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 18' Over 18 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' A moment of madness from Anthony Knockaert on 20 minutes earns him a card. Valenciennes FC will be frustrated.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 27' Andrew Jung does the damage! The net is bulging and Valenciennes FC surge ahead!
  • 32' SC Bastia is showing some good football. However, SC Bastia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 34' Florian Bohnert picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 39' Valenciennes FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 44' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' Valenciennes FC make a change. Allan Linguet trudges off to be replaced by Joachim Kayi Sanda on 46 minutes.
  • 51' SC Bastia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 53' GOAL! Andrew Jung scores on 53. Assisted by Flamarion
  • 57' The referee shows Valenciennes FC player a card on 57.
  • 58' Time for substitution for Valenciennes FC. Jordan Poha is replaced by Lucas Woudenberg.
  • 61' A goal from the France international Anthony Knockaert! He fires home on 61 to make it 3-1!
  • 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 69' SC Bastia player sees a card in front of him.
  • 73' SC Bastia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Felix Tomi is hanging Benjamin Santelli on the field on 73 minute.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Valenciennes FC team. Anthony Knockaert is replaced by Aymen Boutoutaou on 77 minute.
  • 81' SC Bastia make a change. Christophe Vincent trudges off to be replaced by Matteo Loubatieres on 81 minutes.
  • 86' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Regis Brouard will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 89' The Valenciennes FC manager makes a substitution. Flamarion departs to be replaced by Ilyes Hamache.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for SC Bastia.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.47 Valenciennes FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 SC Bastia xG
I would bet for: Valenciennes FC or SC Bastia 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC41% Draw27% SC Bastia32%
Actual: Valenciennes FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Valenciennes FC or Draw
68%
Draw or SC Bastia
59%
Valenciennes FC or SC Bastia
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Valenciennes FC29% Draw46% SC Bastia25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Valenciennes FC

Handicap Valenciennes FC covers Push SC Bastia covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.