Wednesday , 30 September 2026

SC Bastia vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
Fri 30 Dec 2022 · 20:00 UTC Stade Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Valenciennes FC H 1–0 W
26 Dec SM Caen H 1–0 W
12 Nov FC Sochaux-Montbéliard A 0–1 L
05 Nov Paris FC H 0–1 L
22 Oct En Avant Guingamp A 1–1 D
17 Oct FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec SC Bastia A 0–1 L
26 Dec Amiens SC H 1–1 D
12 Nov Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
05 Nov SM Caen H 1–1 D
22 Oct Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–1 L
15 Oct En Avant Guingamp H 1–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stade Armand Cesari!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' Gautier Larsonneur has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' The travelling Valenciennes FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' SC Bastia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Bastia and Valenciennes FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 41' It’s a booking for SC Bastia player. Abdoulaye Niakhate Ndiaye gets a Yellow card.
  • 46' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Bastia and Valenciennes FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Bastia in their trying to find a way past Valenciennes FC's compact .
  • 54' Mohamed Kaba has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 54.
  • 59' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 62' Another change for Valenciennes FC made on 62 minute. Marius Noubissi leaves to be changed by Ugo Bonnet.
  • 67' It’s high time Nicolas Rabuel made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 68' Kapitbafan Djoco gets the nod from SC Bastia. He replaces Benjamin Santelli and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' SC Bastia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 78' The France defender Issiar Drame breaks the deadlock on 78 minutes. 1-0!
  • 81' Aeron Zinga is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ilyes Hamache at the 81 minute mark.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Mathis Picouleau as he leaves the pitch. Lorng Nomel steps in for Valenciennes FC.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Anthony Roncaglia. He replaces Sebastien Salles Lamonge on 83 minute.
  • 87' Time for substitution for SC Bastia. Tom Ducrocq is replaced by Mohamed Amine Talal.
  • 89' SC Bastia player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia45% Draw31% Valenciennes FC24%
Actual: SC Bastia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
77%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
55%
SC Bastia or Valenciennes FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia28% Draw55% Valenciennes FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 24% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.