Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Bastia vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
Fri 30 Dec 2022 · 20:00 UTC Stade Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Valenciennes FC H 1–0 W
26 Dec SM Caen H 1–0 W
12 Nov FC Sochaux-Montbeliard A 0–1 L
05 Nov Paris FC H 0–1 L
22 Oct En Avant Guingamp A 1–1 D
17 Oct FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec SC Bastia A 0–1 L
26 Dec Amiens SC H 1–1 D
12 Nov Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
05 Nov SM Caen H 1–1 D
22 Oct Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–1 L
15 Oct En Avant Guingamp H 1–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stade Armand Cesari that hosts another battle between SC Bastia and Valenciennes FC.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 10' It looks surprising SC Bastia does not make any changes. Aeron Zinga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Lorng Nomel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Valenciennes FC so far.
  • 25' SC Bastia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Valenciennes FC backline.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' SC Bastia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Valenciennes FC's shape.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Bastia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 41' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Abdoulaye Niakhate Ndiaye.
  • 46' Allan Linguet has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Regis Brouard will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 54' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Mohamed Kaba.
  • 59' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 62' Ugo Bonnet is replacing Marius Noubissi for the Valenciennes FC side.
  • 67' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 68' A change in the SC Bastia ranks — Benjamin Santelli exits the field as Kapitbafan Djoco enters on 68.
  • 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 78' A goal from the France international Issiar Drame! He fires home on 78 to make it 1-0!
  • 81' The whistle greets Ilyes Hamache as he departs to be replaced by Aeron Zinga.
  • 82' Valenciennes FC make a change. Mathis Picouleau trudges off to be replaced by Lorng Nomel on 82 minutes.
  • 83' Another change for SC Bastia made on 83 minute. Sebastien Salles Lamonge leaves to be changed by Anthony Roncaglia.
  • 87' Mohamed Amine Talal is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Ducrocq at the 87 minute mark.
  • 89' Migouel Alfarela picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Full Time. SC Bastia beats Valenciennes FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia45% Draw31% Valenciennes FC24%
Actual: SC Bastia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
77%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
55%
SC Bastia or Valenciennes FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia28% Draw55% Valenciennes FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 24% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
46%
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.