Sunday , 16 August 2026

SC Bastia vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
Fri 30 Dec 2022 · 20:00 UTC Stade Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Valenciennes FC H 1–0 W
26 Dec SM Caen H 1–0 W
12 Nov FC Sochaux-Montbéliard A 0–1 L
05 Nov Paris FC H 0–1 L
22 Oct En Avant Guingamp A 1–1 D
17 Oct FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec SC Bastia A 0–1 L
26 Dec Amiens SC H 1–1 D
12 Nov Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
05 Nov SM Caen H 1–1 D
22 Oct Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–1 L
15 Oct En Avant Guingamp H 1–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SC Bastia gets underway.
  • 5' Johny Placide is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Bastia so far.
  • 10' SC Bastia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Valenciennes FC backline.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Bastia that had 174 games and scored 197 goals.
  • 25' Valenciennes FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Bastia and Valenciennes FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Bastia and Valenciennes FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 41' A moment of madness from Abdoulaye Niakhate Ndiaye on 41 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SC Bastia will be frustrated.
  • 46' SC Bastia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Valenciennes FC's shape.
  • 51' Valenciennes FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 54' Mohamed Kaba catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 54.
  • 59' Noah Diliberto has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' Ugo Bonnet gets the nod from Valenciennes FC. He replaces Marius Noubissi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 67' It is a cagey affair so far. SC Bastia in their trying to find a way past Valenciennes FC's compact .
  • 68' Time for substitution for SC Bastia. Benjamin Santelli is replaced by Kapitbafan Djoco.
  • 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Bastia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 78' The France Issiar Drame breaks the deadlock on 78 minutes. 1-0!
  • 81' Another substitution for Valenciennes FC to replace Ilyes Hamache by Aeron Zinga on 81 minute.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Valenciennes FCLorng Nomel on, Mathis Picouleau off on 82 minutes.
  • 83' Anthony Roncaglia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sebastien Salles Lamonge on 83 minute.
  • 87' Fresh legs for SC Bastia! Mohamed Amine Talal comes on to replace Tom Ducrocq.
  • 89' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Migouel Alfarela.
  • With this win, SC Bastia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia45% Draw31% Valenciennes FC24%
Actual: SC Bastia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
77%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
55%
SC Bastia or Valenciennes FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia28% Draw55% Valenciennes FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 24% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
46%
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.