Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Bastia vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2022-23
Fri 30 Dec 2022 · 20:00 UTC Stade Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs Valenciennes FC — Ligue 2 at Stade Armand Cesari.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec Valenciennes FC H 1–0 W
26 Dec SM Caen H 1–0 W
12 Nov FC Sochaux-Montbeliard A 0–1 L
05 Nov Paris FC H 0–1 L
22 Oct En Avant Guingamp A 1–1 D
17 Oct FC Girondins de Bordeaux H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Dec SC Bastia A 0–1 L
26 Dec Amiens SC H 1–1 D
12 Nov Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–1 L
05 Nov SM Caen H 1–1 D
22 Oct Grenoble Foot 38 A 0–1 L
15 Oct En Avant Guingamp H 1–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Stade Armand Cesari will turn into a battlefield for SC Bastia and Valenciennes FC.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Stade Armand Cesari. Valenciennes FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Bastia and Valenciennes FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 15' SC Bastia currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Abdoulaye Niakhate Ndiaye has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 440 appearances.
  • 25' Valenciennes FC is showing some good football. However, Valenciennes FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' SC Bastia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Valenciennes FC backline.
  • 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Valenciennes FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 41' Abdoulaye Niakhate Ndiaye has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 41.
  • 46' SC Bastia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 46.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marius Noubissi made 87 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 54' Mohamed Kaba was booked on 54.
  • 59' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 62' Valenciennes FC ring the changes. Marius Noubissi has done his job and it is now time for Ugo Bonnet to step up.
  • 67' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Bastia and Valenciennes FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 68' The whistle greets Benjamin Santelli as he departs to be replaced by Kapitbafan Djoco.
  • 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gautier Larsonneur, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Armand Cesari with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 78' Against the run of play, Issiar Drame has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Ilyes Hamache as he leaves the pitch. Aeron Zinga steps in for Valenciennes FC.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Lorng Nomel. He replaces Mathis Picouleau on 82 minute.
  • 83' A change in the SC Bastia ranks — Sebastien Salles Lamonge exits the field as Anthony Roncaglia enters on 83.
  • 87' Mohamed Amine Talal gets the nod from SC Bastia. He replaces Tom Ducrocq and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' That is a Yellow card for SC Bastia. Migouel Alfarela will be fuming at that decision.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SC Bastia players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 70% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia45% Draw31% Valenciennes FC24%
Actual: SC Bastia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
77%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
55%
SC Bastia or Valenciennes FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia28% Draw55% Valenciennes FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 0
9%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.3%
2 – 2
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 24% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.