Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Bastia vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 17:00 UTC Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs Valenciennes FC — Ligue 2 at Armand Cesari.

Match Details

  • Referee Romain Lissorgue
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Valenciennes FC H 3–0 W
05 Aug US Concarneau A 0–0 D
02 Jun FC Metz A 2–3 L
26 May Le Havre AC H 1–1 D
20 May Pau FC A 6–2 W
13 May Chamois Niortais FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug SC Bastia A 0–3 L
05 Aug AJ Auxerre H 1–4 L
02 Jun AS Saint-Étienne A 0–2 L
26 May Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–0 W
22 May Le Havre AC A 2–0 W
13 May Pau FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SC Bastia and Valenciennes FC get this one started.
  • 5' Allan Linguet, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' The 28-year-old Migouel Alfarela has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Valenciennes FC that had 367 games and scored 259 goals.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Bastia and Valenciennes FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Issouf Macalou made 367 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' SC Bastia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Valenciennes FC backline.
  • 40' Assisted by Kapitbafan Djoco with the perfectly-timed delivery and Dimitri Lienard makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 45' SC Bastia is showing some good football. However, SC Bastia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Ilyes Hamache has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sofiane Boudraa on 46 minute.
  • 51' The referee has no hesitation. Julien Masson is booked for Valenciennes FC — card on 51.
  • 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 64' SC Bastia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Benjamin Santelli is hanging Migouel Alfarela on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' Jason Berthomier is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Valenciennes FC so far.
  • 74' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 76' Fresh legs for Valenciennes FC! Issouf Macalou comes on to replace Jason Berthomier.
  • 77' What composure from Benjamin Santelli! The France international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Florian Bianchini. He replaces Kapitbafan Djoco on 77 minute.
  • 82' It’s gonna be a card for Allan Linguet.
  • 84' Tidyane Diagouraga gets the nod from Valenciennes FC. He replaces Aymen Boutoutaou and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Jocelyn Janneh is replacing Dimitri Lienard for the SC Bastia side.
  • 90' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Bastia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • SC Bastia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia55% Draw26% Valenciennes FC19%
Actual: SC Bastia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
81%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
45%
SC Bastia or Valenciennes FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia37% Draw47% Valenciennes FC16%
Actual: SC Bastia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.