Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Bastia vs Valenciennes FC, Ligue 2 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2023-24
Sat 12 Aug 2023 · 17:00 UTC Armand Cesari HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Bastia vs Valenciennes FCLigue 2 at Armand Cesari.

Match Details

  • Referee Romain Lissorgue

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug Valenciennes FC H 3–0 W
05 Aug US Concarneau A 0–0 D
02 Jun FC Metz A 2–3 L
26 May Le Havre AC H 1–1 D
20 May Pau FC A 6–2 W
13 May Chamois Niortais FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Aug SC Bastia A 0–3 L
05 Aug AJ Auxerre H 1–4 L
02 Jun AS Saint-Étienne A 0–2 L
26 May Grenoble Foot 38 H 1–0 W
22 May Le Havre AC A 2–0 W
13 May Pau FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. SC Bastia is hosting Valenciennes FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The travelling Valenciennes FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Sofiane Boudraa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Bastia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' Tom Ducrocq has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' SC Bastia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 40' SC Bastia is taking the lead after the goal scored by Dimitri Lienard on 40.
  • 45' SC Bastia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Valenciennes FC team. Sofiane Boudraa is replaced by Ilyes Hamache on 46 minute.
  • 51' Julien Masson was booked on 51.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Bastia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Bastia that had 174 games and scored 197 goals.
  • 64' Benjamin Santelli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Migouel Alfarela on 64 minute.
  • 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 74' SC Bastia is showing some good football. However, SC Bastia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 76' The supporters are chanting for Issouf Macalou. He replaces Jason Berthomier on 76 minute.
  • 77' What a strike from Benjamin Santelli! The score is 2-0.
  • 77' SC Bastia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Florian Bianchini is hanging Kapitbafan Djoco on the field on 77 minute.
  • 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Allan Linguet on 82.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Tidyane Diagouraga. He replaces Aymen Boutoutaou on 84 minute.
  • 85' Another substitution for SC Bastia to replace Dimitri Lienard by Jocelyn Janneh on 85 minute.
  • 90' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 SC Bastia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Valenciennes FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Bastia55% Draw26% Valenciennes FC19%
Actual: SC Bastia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SC Bastia or Draw
81%
Draw or Valenciennes FC
45%
SC Bastia or Valenciennes FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Bastia37% Draw47% Valenciennes FC16%
Actual: SC Bastia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
10.4%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — SC Bastia

Handicap SC Bastia covers Push Valenciennes FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 24% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SC Bastia keeps clean sheet
42%
Valenciennes FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.