Thursday , 2 July 2026

Valencia CF vs UD Almeria, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
2 1
Full Time
Sat 3 Feb 2024 · 13:00 UTC Estadio de Mestalla HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Duro 14' 1–0
Roman Yaremchuk 23' 2–0
2–1 50' Sergio Arribas

Overview

Match Preview

Valencia CF vs UD AlmeriaLa Liga at Estadio de Mestalla.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Muniz Ruiz (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Eliana Fernandez Gonzalez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Fabian Blanco Rodriguez (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb UD Almeria H 2–1 W
28 Jan Club Atletico de Madrid A 0–2 L
20 Jan Athletic Club H 1–0 W
14 Jan Cadiz CF A 4–1 W
02 Jan Villarreal CF H 3–1 W
19 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Valencia CF A 1–2 L
26 Jan Deportivo Alaves H 0–3 L
21 Jan Real Madrid CF A 2–3 L
14 Jan Girona FC H 0–0 D
04 Jan CA Osasuna A 0–1 L
20 Dec FC Barcelona A 2–3 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Estadio de Mestalla. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' UD Almeria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 14' Goal! Hugo Duro scores his 38 goal in 313 matches.
  • 19' It looks like no one’s ball. Valencia CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 23' Goal! Roman Yaremchuk scores his 77 goal in 299 matches.
  • 24' Roman Yaremchuk was booked on 24.
  • 25' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Javier Guerra.
  • 30' The travelling UD Almeria supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' Another change for UD Almeria made on 34 minute. Cesar Montes leaves to be changed by Iddrisu Baba.
  • 39' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
  • 49' Valencia CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 50' What a strike from Sergio Arribas! The score is 2-1.
  • 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gaya made 422 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' The referee shows UD Almeria player a Yellow card on 61.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Luka Romero. He replaces Leo Baptistao on 61 minute.
  • 62' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Cristhian Mosquera.
  • 64' Edgar Gonzalez was booked on 64.
  • 64' Another change for Valencia CF made on 64 minute. Diego Lopez leaves to be changed by Fran Perez.
  • 66' The referee calls foul for Cristhian Mosquera. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Valencia CF team. Javier Guerra is replaced by Jesus Vazquez Alcalde on 70 minute.
  • 72' It’s a booking for UD Almeria player. Anthony Lozano gets a Yellow card.
  • 73' The referee shows Valencia CF player a Yellow card on 73.
  • 78' UD Almeria is showing some good football. However, UD Almeria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 82' The UD Almeria manager makes a substitution. Chumi departs to be replaced by Marko Milovanovic.
  • 87' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 90' Time for substitution for Valencia CF. Hugo Duro is replaced by Selim Amallah.
  • 90' The referee shows UD Almeria player a Yellow card on 90.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Valencia CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 UD Almeria xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Valencia CF52% Draw25% UD Almeria23%
Actual: Valencia CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Valencia CF or Draw
77%
Draw or UD Almeria
48%
Valencia CF or UD Almeria
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Valencia CF34% Draw45% UD Almeria21%
Actual: Valencia CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Valencia CF

Handicap Valencia CF covers Push UD Almeria covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Valencia CF keeps clean sheet
31%
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.