Sunday , 16 August 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
5 4
3 – 2 pen
Full Time
Sun 17 May 2026 · 04:00 UTC Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank HT 45' · FT 45'
Hotaru Yamaguchi 21' 1–0
1–1 27' Yoshinori Muto
1–2 32' Thuler
Eduardo 45' 2–2
Y 37' Caetano
Hijiri Onaga 65' Y
Diego Pituca 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel KobeJ. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May Vissel Kobe H 5–4 W
09 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–3 L
06 May Fagiano Okayama FC H 2–1 W
03 May Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
29 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
25 Apr Gamba Osaka H 6–7 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 May V-Varen Nagasaki A 4–5 L
13 May Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W
10 May Fagiano Okayama FC H 0–3 L
06 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 6–5 W
02 May Gamba Osaka A 0–5 L
29 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Vissel Kobe
#9 Position #1
21 Points 35
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
25 Scored 41
33 Conceded 37
-8 GD +4
1.17 PPG 1.94
39% Win % 61%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
0% Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Vissel Kobe are 1st (35 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Vissel Kobe
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between V-Varen Nagasaki and Vissel Kobe is underway.
  • 5' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His V-Varen Nagasaki side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 21' GOAL! Hotaru Yamaguchi fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 26' Yuya Osako is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for V-Varen Nagasaki tonight.
  • 27' GOAL! Yoshinori Muto fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 28' Yoshinori Muto has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 28 minutes.
  • 32' Thuler doubles the advantage! 1-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 37' That is a card for Vissel Kobe. Caetano will be fuming at that decision.
  • 42' Yosuke Ideguchi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Vissel Kobe so far.
  • 45' Assisted by Matheus Jesus with the perfectly-timed delivery and Eduardo makes no mistake. 2-3!
  • 46' Assisted by Matheus Jesus with the perfectly-timed delivery and Eduardo makes no mistake. 3-3!
  • 51' V-Varen Nagasaki are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Vissel Kobe backline.
  • 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 65' A moment of madness from Hijiri Onaga on 65 minutes earns him a card. V-Varen Nagasaki will be frustrated.
  • 70' V-Varen Nagasaki are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 75' Motoki Hasegawa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 80' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 85' A quiet spell here at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. V-Varen Nagasaki seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' Diego Pituca has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 5-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.43 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.38 Vissel Kobe xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki44% Draw21% Vissel Kobe35%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes82% 0% No18%
Avg goals/match: 4.81
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 85%
15%
± 3.5 69%
31%
± 4.5 51%
49%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
65%
Draw or Vissel Kobe
56%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Vissel Kobe
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki34% Draw34% Vissel Kobe32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
1 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 3
4.2%
4 – 2
3.2%
2 – 4
3.1%
4 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Vissel Kobe covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 12% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 16% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 16% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
10%
Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.