V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki

5 – 4

3 – 2 pen

Full Time

Vissel Kobe

Sun 17 May 2026 · 04:00 UTC Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank HT 45' · FT 45'

Hotaru Yamaguchi 21' 1–0

1–1 27' Yoshinori Muto

1–2 32' Thuler

Eduardo 45' 2–2

Y 37' Caetano

Hijiri Onaga 65' Y

Diego Pituca 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Vissel Kobe — J. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.

V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Vissel Kobe 18 games · 35 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

V-Varen Nagasaki 13 games · Avg 3.4 goals Vissel Kobe

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-17 V-Varen Nagasaki 5–4 Vissel Kobe 2026-02-13 Vissel Kobe 2–0 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-10-06 Vissel Kobe 1–1 V-Varen Nagasaki 2018-07-18 V-Varen Nagasaki 0–1 Vissel Kobe 2018-05-13 V-Varen Nagasaki 2–1 Vissel Kobe

Recent Form

V-Varen Nagasaki

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	Vissel Kobe	H	5–4	W
09 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	2–3	L
06 May	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	2–1	W
03 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	1–2	L
29 Apr	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	2–1	W
25 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	6–7	L

Vissel Kobe

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	4–5	L
13 May	Kyōto Sanga FC	H	1–0	W
10 May	Fagiano Okayama FC	H	0–3	L
06 May	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	6–5	W
02 May	Gamba Osaka	A	0–5	L
29 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki		Vissel Kobe
#9	Position	#1
21	Points	35
18	Played	18
7 / 0 / 11	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
25	Scored	41
33	Conceded	37
-8	GD	+4
1.17	PPG	1.94
39%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

38% Clean Sheets
Vissel Kobe this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Vissel Kobe are 1st (35 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki

0-15

1/5

16-30

–/–

31-45

4/4

46-60

4/4

61-75

1/3

76+

6/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Vissel Kobe

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

5/1

61-75

3/6

76+

7/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki

Thiago Santana	5 G
Kenshin Yasuda	5 G
Matheus Jesus	4 G	2 A
Tenmu Matsumoto	2 G

Vissel Kobe

Yuya Osako	6 G
Yoshinori Muto	4 G	2 A
Ren Komatsu	3 G
Katsuya Nagato	2 G	1 A
Yuta Goke	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Riku Yamada is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Vissel Kobe tonight.
10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Vissel Kobe winning 100% of all matches.
15' Gotoku Sakai has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
21' GOAL! Hotaru Yamaguchi scores on 21. Assisted by Matheus Jesus
26' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
27' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Yoshinori Muto makes it 1-1.
28' Brilliant from the ! Yoshinori Muto makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 28.
32' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Thuler makes no mistake. 1-3!
37' It’s a booking for Vissel Kobe player. Caetano gets a card.
42' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 42 minutes.
45' Magnificent from Eduardo! That is 14 goals in 449 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
46' Against the run of play, Eduardo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
51' Hijiri Onaga, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
56' V-Varen Nagasaki currently sit 16 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
61' It is a cagey affair so far. V-Varen Nagasaki in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Vissel Kobe's compact 3-4-2-1.
65' Hijiri Onaga catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 65.
70' Over 70 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
75' Vissel Kobe has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
80' The travelling Vissel Kobe supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
85' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
90' The referee shows V-Varen Nagasaki player a card on 90.
The referee brings this contest to a close. V-Varen Nagasaki take all three points.

Lineups

V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Takuya Takagi

Vissel Kobe Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Michael Skibbe

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yuta Goke	2
Wellington	1
Thuler	1
Yoshinori Muto	1
Eduardo	1
Hotaru Yamaguchi	1
Katsuya Nagato	1
Masatoshi Mihara	1

Head to Head

V-Varen Nagasaki Form

2026-05-17 V-Varen Nagasaki 5–4 Vissel Kobe W 2026-05-09 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–2 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-05-06 V-Varen Nagasaki 2–1 Fagiano Okayama FC W 2026-05-03 V-Varen Nagasaki 1–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-04-29 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 V-Varen Nagasaki W 2026-04-25 V-Varen Nagasaki 6–7 Gamba Osaka L

Vissel Kobe Form

2026-05-17 V-Varen Nagasaki 5–4 Vissel Kobe L 2026-05-13 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Kyōto Sanga FC W 2026-05-10 Vissel Kobe 0–3 Fagiano Okayama FC L 2026-05-06 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 5–6 Vissel Kobe W 2026-05-02 Gamba Osaka 5–0 Vissel Kobe L 2026-04-29 Vissel Kobe 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.43 V-Varen Nagasaki xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.38 Vissel Kobe xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct

V-Varen Nagasaki44% Draw21% Vissel Kobe35%

Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes82% 0% No18%

Avg goals/match: 4.81

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	85%	15%
± 3.5	69%	31%
± 4.5	51%	49%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw

65%

Draw or Vissel Kobe

56%

V-Varen Nagasaki or Vissel Kobe

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

V-Varen Nagasaki34% Draw34% Vissel Kobe32%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted

5 – 4

Actual

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 1

5.7%

1 – 2

5.6%

1 – 1

5.4%

3 – 2

5.3%

2 – 3

5.1%

3 – 1

4.5%

1 – 3

4.3%

3 – 3

4.2%

4 – 2

3.2%

2 – 4

3.1%

4 – 1

2.8%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap	V-Varen Nagasaki covers	Push	Vissel Kobe covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	12%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	16%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	16%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	12%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Vissel Kobe keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.