Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Sassuolo Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sat 6 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Mapei - Citta del Tricolore HT 45' · FT 45'
Andrea Pinamonti 9' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

US Sassuolo Calcio vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Mapei - Citta del Tricolore.

Match Details

  • Referee Rosario Abisso
  • Assistant 1 Vito Mastrodonato
  • Assistant 2 Alex Cavallina (Italy)
7 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 7.1 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
30 Dec AC Milan A 0–1 L
22 Dec Genoa CFC H 1–2 L
17 Dec Udinese Calcio A 2–2 D
11 Dec Cagliari Calcio A 1–2 L
03 Dec AS Roma H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–1 L
29 Dec Torino FC H 1–0 W
22 Dec AC Monza A 1–0 W
17 Dec Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec AS Roma A 1–1 D
03 Dec US Salernitana 1919 H 3–0 W

Season Stats

US Sassuolo Calcio ACF Fiorentina
#11 Position #15
49 Points 42
38 Played 38
14 / 7 / 17 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
46 Scored 41
50 Conceded 50
-4 GD -9
1.29 PPG 1.11
37% Win % 24%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Sassuolo Calcio are 11th (49 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3 US Sassuolo Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: US Sassuolo Calcio or ACF Fiorentina 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Sassuolo Calcio40% Draw29% ACF Fiorentina31%
Actual: US Sassuolo Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

US Sassuolo Calcio or Draw
69%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
60%
US Sassuolo Calcio or ACF Fiorentina
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Sassuolo Calcio28% Draw49% ACF Fiorentina23%
Actual: US Sassuolo Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
8.7%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — US Sassuolo Calcio

Handicap US Sassuolo Calcio covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

US Sassuolo Calcio keeps clean sheet
32%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.