Wednesday , 30 September 2026

US Lecce vs Hellas Verona FC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Tue 29 Oct 2024 · 17:30 UTC Stadio Via del Mare 23,698 HT 45' · FT 45'
Patrick Dorgu 51' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs Hellas Verona FC — Serie A at Stadio Via del Mare.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Domenico Rocca
5 games this season 🟨 4.6/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
26 Oct SSC Napoli A 0–1 L
20 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 0–6 L
05 Oct Udinese Calcio A 0–1 L
27 Sep AC Milan A 0–3 L
21 Sep Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct US Lecce A 0–1 L
26 Oct Atalanta BC A 1–6 L
21 Oct AC Monza H 0–3 L
04 Oct Venezia FC H 2–1 W
29 Sep Como 1907 A 2–3 L
20 Sep Torino FC H 2–3 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

US Lecce
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

US Lecce
Lassana Coulibaly 2 G 1 A
Tiago Gabriel 2 G
Olaf Gorter 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Hellas Verona FC xG
I would bet for: US Lecce or Hellas Verona FC 73% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce42% Draw27% Hellas Verona FC31%
Actual: US Lecce win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
69%
Draw or Hellas Verona FC
58%
US Lecce or Hellas Verona FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce29% Draw47% Hellas Verona FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push Hellas Verona FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
28% ✗
Hellas Verona FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.