Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Lecce vs FC Internazionale Milano, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs FC Internazionale MilanoSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
7 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 12.3 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
16 Feb Cagliari Calcio A 2–0 W
08 Feb Udinese Calcio H 2–1 W
01 Feb Torino FC A 0–1 L
24 Jan SS Lazio H 0–0 D
18 Jan AC Milan A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb US Lecce A 2–0 W
18 Feb FK Bodø/Glimt A 1–3 L
14 Feb Juventus FC H 3–2 W
08 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio A 5–0 W
01 Feb US Cremonese A 2–0 W
28 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 2–0 W

Season Stats

US Lecce FC Internazionale Milano
#17 Position #1
38 Points 87
38 Played 38
10 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 27 / 6 / 5
28 Scored 89
50 Conceded 35
-22 GD +54
1.00 PPG 2.29
26% Win % 71%

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). FC Internazionale Milano are 1st (87 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

FC Internazionale Milano Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.54 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3 FC Internazionale Milano xG
I would bet for: FC Internazionale Milano to win 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce12% Draw20% FC Internazionale Milano68%
Actual: FC Internazionale Milano win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
32%
Draw or FC Internazionale Milano
88%
US Lecce or FC Internazionale Milano
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce7% Draw39% FC Internazionale Milano54%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
13.2%
0 – 3
11.3%
1 – 2
8.1%
1 – 1
7.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 4
6.5%
1 – 3
6.3%
1 – 4
3.7%
0 – 5
3%
1 – 0
2.6%
2 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push FC Internazionale Milano covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% 99%
-1 1% 5% 94%
-0.5 6% 94%
+0.5 24% 76%
+1 24% 23% 53%
+1.5 47% 53%
+2 47% 23% 30%
+2.5 70% 30%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
11%
FC Internazionale Milano keeps clean sheet
58%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.