US Lecce vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
US Lecce vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare.
- US Lecce 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Atalanta BC 11 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Filippo Valeriani
- Referee Davide Massa
- Referee Luigi Nasca
- Referee Antonio Di Martino
- Referee Giorgio Schenone
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 2–7 | L |
| 23 Feb | AS Roma | A | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Feb | SPAL 2013 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Feb | SSC Napoli | A | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Feb | Torino FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Jan | Hellas Verona FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | Atalanta BC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #12 |
| 10 | Points | 14 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 3 / 1 / 7 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 5 |
| 12 | Scored | 17 |
| 22 | Conceded | 20 |
| -10 | GD | -3 |
| 0.91 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 27% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
Atalanta BC this season
US Lecce are 14th (10 pts). Atalanta BC are 12th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atalanta BC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 2 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | 1 A |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
Atalanta BC
| Nikola Krstovic | 7 G | 2 A |
| Ederson | 2 G | |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 1 G | |
| Lazar Samardzic | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for US Lecce to score. At the same time, Atalanta BC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atalanta BC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' Mattia Caldara has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' Duvan Zapata, a Colombia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 17' US Lecce is taking the lead after the goal scored by Giulio Donati on 17.
- 22' GOAL! Duvan Zapata fires home to make it 1-1!
- 27' A quiet spell here at Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare. Atalanta BC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 29' Sensational shot from Riccardo Saponara. US Lecce is back in the lead.
- 34' The 35-year-old Luis Muriel has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 39' Giulio Donati with the second goal in the match!
- 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Hans Hateboer argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 47' What composure from Josip Ilicic! The Slovenia international strokes it home. 3-2.
- 52' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 54' Duvan Zapata makes no mistake. The score reads 3-3 and Atalanta BC are in front.
- 57' Jose Luis Palomino was booked on 57.
- 62' Duvan Zapata does the damage! The net is bulging and Atalanta BC surge ahead!
- 63' A change in the US Lecce ranks — Marco Mancosu exits the field as Evgen Shakhov enters on 63.
- 66' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Fabio Lucioni.
- 69' Another change for Atalanta BC made on 69 minute. Alejandro Gomez leaves to be changed by Ruslan Malinovskyi.
- 70' US Lecce receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 70.
- 73' Luis Muriel is replacing Josip Ilicic for the Atalanta BC side.
- 78' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 83' Gianluca Lapadula has been relatively quiet despite scoring 35 goals in his last 429 appearances.
- 85' The Atalanta BC manager makes a substitution. Duvan Zapata departs to be replaced by Adrien Tameze.
- 87' What composure from Luis Muriel! The Colombia international strokes it home. 3-5.
- The final score is 2-7.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 7
- 18
- 9
- 72
- 13
- 14
- 37
- 5
- 27
-
8
Marco Mancosu C ↓ Evgen Shakhov 63'
Bench
-
77
Panagiotis Tachtsidis ↑ 63'
- 6
- 39
- 29
-
11
Evgen Shakhov ↑ 63'
- 22
- 16
- 4
- 3
- 35
- 97
- 28
Coach
Fabio Liverani
Atalanta BC Lineups
Starting XI
- 95
- 33
- 6
- 10
- 11
-
72
Josip Ilicic ↓ Luis Muriel 73'
- 8
- 15
-
91
Duvan Zapata ↓ Adrien Tameze 85'
- 88
- 3
Bench
- 7
-
5
Adrien Tameze ↑ 85'
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 73'
- 31
- 21
- 22
- 57
-
18
Ruslan Malinovskyi ↑ 69'
- 55
- 90
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duvan Zapata | 5 |
| Mateo Retegui | 3 |
| Giulio Donati | 2 |
| Marco Brescianini | 2 |
| Federico Baschirotto | 2 |
| Josip Ilicic | 1 |
| Charles De Ketelaere | 1 |
| Ruslan Malinovskyi | 1 |
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.36
Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 3.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 4.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
40%
Draw or Atalanta BC
79%
US Lecce or Atalanta BC
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–7 not predicted2 – 7Actual
1 – 3
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
1 – 4
5.7%
2 – 3
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
2 – 4
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 5
3.9%
0 – 4
3.7%
2 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | Atalanta BC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 4% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 9% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +1 | 31% | 18% | 51% |
| +1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +2 | 49% | 18% | 33% |
| +2.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

