US Lecce vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2019-20 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
US Lecce vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare.
- US Lecce 38 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
- Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Filippo Valeriani
- Referee Davide Massa
- Referee Luigi Nasca
- Referee Antonio Di Martino
- Referee Giorgio Schenone
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 2–7 | L |
| 23 Feb | AS Roma | A | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Feb | SPAL 2013 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Feb | SSC Napoli | A | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Feb | Torino FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Jan | Hellas Verona FC | A | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | Atalanta BC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #7 |
| 38 | Points | 59 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 10 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 15 / 14 / 9 |
| 28 | Scored | 51 |
| 50 | Conceded | 36 |
| -22 | GD | +15 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.55 |
| 26% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between US Lecce and Atalanta BC is underway.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 15' US Lecce have won 161 goals from 190 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 17' The deadlock is broken! Giulio Donati gets on the scoresheet on 17 minutes.
- 22' Duvan Zapata doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 27' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mattia Caldara made 515 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 29' Riccardo Saponara does the damage! The net is bulging and US Lecce surge ahead!
- 34' It looks surprising US Lecce does not make any changes. Ruslan Malinovskyi has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 39' Goal! Giulio Donati scores his 3 goal in 436 matches.
- 44' Gabriel has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 190 appearances.
- 45' That is a Yellow card for Atalanta BC. Hans Hateboer will be fuming at that decision.
- 47' Brilliant from the ! Josip Ilicic makes it 3-2 with a superb finish on 47.
- 52' A quiet spell here at Stadio Comunale Via Del Mare. US Lecce seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 54' Magnificent from Duvan Zapata! That is 102 goals in 525 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 57' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Jose Luis Palomino.
- 62' Duvan Zapata is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 63' Evgen Shakhov gets the nod from US Lecce. He replaces Marco Mancosu and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' Controversy at the stadium! Fabio Lucioni argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 69' Another substitution for Atalanta BC to replace Alejandro Gomez by Ruslan Malinovskyi on 69 minute.
- 70' US Lecce receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 70.
- 73' The crowd applauds Josip Ilicic as he leaves the pitch. Luis Muriel steps in for Atalanta BC.
- 78' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 83' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 85' Another substitution for Atalanta BC to replace Duvan Zapata by Adrien Tameze on 85 minute.
- 87' Brilliant from the ! Luis Muriel makes it 3-5 with a superb finish on 87.
- It finishes all square. US Lecce and Atalanta BC share the spoils 2-7.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 7
- 18
- 9
- 72
- 13
- 14
- 37
- 5
- 27
-
8
Marco Mancosu C ↓ Evgen Shakhov 63'
Bench
-
77
Panagiotis Tachtsidis ↑ 63'
- 6
- 39
- 29
-
11
Evgen Shakhov ↑ 63'
- 22
- 16
- 4
- 3
- 35
- 97
- 28
Coach
Fabio Liverani
Atalanta BC Lineups
Starting XI
- 95
- 33
- 6
- 10
- 11
-
72
Josip Ilicic ↓ Luis Muriel 73'
- 8
- 15
-
91
Duvan Zapata ↓ Adrien Tameze 85'
- 88
- 3
Bench
- 7
-
5
Adrien Tameze ↑ 85'
-
9
Luis Muriel ↑ 73'
- 31
- 21
- 22
- 57
-
18
Ruslan Malinovskyi ↑ 69'
- 55
- 90
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duvan Zapata | 5 |
| Mateo Retegui | 3 |
| Federico Baschirotto | 2 |
| Giulio Donati | 2 |
| Marco Brescianini | 2 |
| Federico Di Francesco | 1 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 1 |
| Giorgio Scalvini | 1 |
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.1
Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
37%
Draw or Atalanta BC
82%
US Lecce or Atalanta BC
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–7 not predicted2 – 7Actual
1 – 3
7.8%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
6.7%
0 – 3
6.6%
1 – 4
6%
1 – 1
5.8%
0 – 4
5%
2 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.1%
1 – 5
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | Atalanta BC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 7% | 88% |
| -0.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| +0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +1 | 27% | 19% | 55% |
| +1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +2 | 45% | 19% | 35% |
| +2.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

