US Catanzaro vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie B · 2025-26

US Catanzaro

1 – 0

Full Time

Palermo FC

Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Catanzaro vs Palermo FC — Serie B .

US Catanzaro 11 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Palermo FC 11 games · 27 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Luca Pairetto

5 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 9.2 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Palermo FC	11	27
2	Modena FC 2018	11	23
3	Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC	11	20
4	Mantova 1911 SSD	11	19
5	Benevento Calcio	11	16
6	Calcio Avellino SSD	11	16
7	Hellas Verona FC	11	16
8	AC Pisa 1909	11	16
9	US Cremonese	11	15
10	Padova Calcio	11	15
11	AC Cesena	11	15
12	FC Südtirol	11	15
13	SS Juve Stabia	11	12
14	SS Arezzo	11	11
15	UC Sampdoria	11	11
16	ACD Virtus Entella	11	10
17	Carrarese Calcio	11	10
18	L.R. Vicenza Virtus	11	9
19	Empoli FC	11	9
20	US Catanzaro	11	6

Head-to-Head

US Catanzaro 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals Palermo FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-25 US Catanzaro 1–0 Palermo FC 2025-04-27 US Catanzaro 1–3 Palermo FC 2024-12-15 Palermo FC 1–2 US Catanzaro 2024-01-26 US Catanzaro 1–1 Palermo FC 2023-12-01 Palermo FC 1–2 US Catanzaro

Recent Form

US Catanzaro

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	Palermo FC	H	1–0	W
19 Oct	Padova Calcio	H	0–1	L
04 Oct	AC Monza	A	1–2	L
01 Oct	UC Sampdoria	A	0–0	D
26 Sep	SS Juve Stabia	H	2–2	D
20 Sep	AC Reggiana	A	2–2	D

Palermo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	US Catanzaro	A	0–1	L
19 Oct	Modena FC 2018	H	1–1	D
04 Oct	Spezia Calcio	A	2–1	W
30 Sep	Venezia FC	H	0–0	D
27 Sep	AC Cesena	A	1–1	D
19 Sep	SSC Bari	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

US Catanzaro		Palermo FC
#20	Position	#1
6	Points	27
11	Played	11
1 / 3 / 7	W / D / L	8 / 3 / 0
11	Scored	25
23	Conceded	13
-12	GD	+12
0.55	PPG	2.45
9%	Win %	73%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

9% Clean Sheets
US Catanzaro this season

18% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

US Catanzaro are 20th (6 pts). Palermo FC are 1st (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

US Catanzaro

0-15

1/–

16-30

4/3

31-45

–/7

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

3/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Palermo FC

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/2

31-45

3/1

46-60

6/3

61-75

5/3

76+

7/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

US Catanzaro

Pietro Iemmello	2 G
Marco D'Alessandro	1 G
Bruno Verrengia	1 G

Palermo FC

Dennis Johnsen	7 G	5 A
Dominic Vavassori	6 G	1 A
Joel Pohjanpalo	2 G	3 A
Antonio Palumbo	2 G	1 A
Filippo Ranocchia	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Palermo FC gets underway.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

US Catanzaro Lineups

Palermo FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tommaso Biasci	4
Filippo Pittarello	2
Jacopo Segre	2
Jeremy Le Douaron	1
Dennis Johnsen	1
Joel Pohjanpalo	1
Leo Stulac	1
Pietro Iemmello	1

Head to Head

US Catanzaro Form

2025-10-25 US Catanzaro 1–0 Palermo FC W 2025-10-19 US Catanzaro 0–1 Padova Calcio L 2025-10-04 AC Monza 2–1 US Catanzaro L 2025-10-01 UC Sampdoria 0–0 US Catanzaro D 2025-09-26 US Catanzaro 2–2 SS Juve Stabia D 2025-09-20 AC Reggiana 2–2 US Catanzaro D

Palermo FC Form

2025-10-25 US Catanzaro 1–0 Palermo FC L 2025-10-19 Palermo FC 1–1 Modena FC 2018 D 2025-10-04 Spezia Calcio 1–2 Palermo FC W 2025-09-30 Palermo FC 0–0 Venezia FC D 2025-09-27 AC Cesena 1–1 Palermo FC D 2025-09-19 Palermo FC 2–0 SSC Bari W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.1 US Catanzaro xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.26 Palermo FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

US Catanzaro27% Draw22% Palermo FC51%

Actual: US Catanzaro win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.36

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

US Catanzaro or Draw

49%

Draw or Palermo FC

73%

US Catanzaro or Palermo FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

US Catanzaro15% Draw39% Palermo FC46%

Actual: US Catanzaro win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

9.4%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

8.8%

0 – 1

7.4%

1 – 3

0 – 3

6.5%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 0

4.9%

2 – 1

4.6%

1 – 4

2 – 3

3.9%

0 – 4

3.7%

Asian Handicap — US Catanzaro

Handicap	US Catanzaro covers	Push	Palermo FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	10%	83%
-0.5	17%	—	83%
+0.5	38%	—	62%
+1	38%	22%	40%
+1.5	60%	—	40%
+2	60%	19%	22%
+2.5	78%	—	22%

Clean Sheet

US Catanzaro keeps clean sheet

11% ✗

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.