Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie B · 2025-26

Spezia Calcio

1 – 2

Full Time

Palermo FC

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 15:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Spezia Calcio vs Palermo FC — Serie B .

Spezia Calcio 38 games · 35 pts (2025/26)
Palermo FC 38 games · 72 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)

9 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 21.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Venezia FC	38	82
2	Frosinone Calcio	38	81
3	AC Monza	38	76
4	Palermo FC	38	72
5	US Catanzaro	38	59
6	Modena FC 2018	38	55
7	SS Juve Stabia	38	51
8	Calcio Avellino SSD	38	49
9	Mantova 1911 SSD	38	46
10	Padova Calcio	38	46
11	AC Cesena	38	46
12	Carrarese Calcio	38	44
13	UC Sampdoria	38	44
14	ACD Virtus Entella	38	42
15	Empoli FC	38	41
16	FC Sudtirol	38	41
17	SSC Bari	38	40
18	AC Reggiana	38	37
19	Spezia Calcio	38	35
20	Delfino Pescara 1936	38	35

Head-to-Head

Spezia Calcio 6 games · Avg 2.5 goals Palermo FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Spezia Calcio 1–2 Palermo FC 2025-02-09 Spezia Calcio 2–2 Palermo FC 2024-12-01 Palermo FC 2–0 Spezia Calcio 2024-05-01 Spezia Calcio 1–0 Palermo FC 2023-10-23 Palermo FC 2–2 Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

Spezia Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Palermo FC	H	1–2	L
30 Sep	AC Reggiana	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	Venezia FC	A	0–2	L
20 Sep	SS Juve Stabia	H	1–3	L
14 Sep	Empoli FC	A	1–1	D
30 Aug	US Catanzaro	H	0–0	D

Palermo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Spezia Calcio	A	2–1	W
30 Sep	Venezia FC	H	0–0	D
27 Sep	AC Cesena	A	1–1	D
19 Sep	SSC Bari	H	2–0	W
14 Sep	FC Sudtirol	A	2–0	W
30 Aug	Frosinone Calcio	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

Spezia Calcio		Palermo FC
#19	Position	#4
35	Points	72
38	Played	38
8 / 11 / 19	W / D / L	20 / 12 / 6
43	Scored	61
59	Conceded	33
-16	GD	+28
0.92	PPG	1.89
21%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

16% Clean Sheets
Spezia Calcio this season

45% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Spezia Calcio are 19th (35 pts). Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Spezia Calcio

0-15

1/2

16-30

1/4

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

4/4

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Palermo FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

1/1

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Spezia Calcio gets underway.
The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

Spezia Calcio Lineups

Palermo FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Francesco Esposito	2
Filippo Ranocchia	1
Matteo Brunori Sandri	1
Arkadiusz Reca	1
Leo Stulac	1
Leonardo Mancuso	1
Giuseppe Di Serio	1
Rayyan Baniya	1

Head to Head

Spezia Calcio Form

2025-10-04 Spezia Calcio 1–2 Palermo FC L 2025-09-30 AC Reggiana 1–1 Spezia Calcio D 2025-09-27 Venezia FC 2–0 Spezia Calcio L 2025-09-20 Spezia Calcio 1–3 SS Juve Stabia L 2025-09-14 Empoli FC 1–1 Spezia Calcio D 2025-08-30 Spezia Calcio 0–0 US Catanzaro D

Palermo FC Form

2025-10-04 Spezia Calcio 1–2 Palermo FC W 2025-09-30 Palermo FC 0–0 Venezia FC D 2025-09-27 AC Cesena 1–1 Palermo FC D 2025-09-19 Palermo FC 2–0 SSC Bari W 2025-09-14 FC Sudtirol 0–2 Palermo FC W 2025-08-30 Palermo FC 0–0 Frosinone Calcio D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.93 Spezia Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.82 Palermo FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Spezia Calcio22% Draw26% Palermo FC52%

Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

Spezia Calcio or Draw

48%

Draw or Palermo FC

78%

Spezia Calcio or Palermo FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Spezia Calcio15% Draw45% Palermo FC40%

Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.7%

0 – 1

10.9%

0 – 2

10.4%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

8.3%

0 – 3

6.2%

1 – 3

5.8%

1 – 0

5.1%

2 – 1

4.8%

2 – 2

4.4%

0 – 4

2.8%

2 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Spezia Calcio

Handicap	Spezia Calcio covers	Push	Palermo FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	12%	82%
-0.5	18%	—	82%
+0.5	43%	—	57%
+1	43%	24%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	18%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.