Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Catanzaro vs Padova Calcio, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
US Catanzaro
0 – 1
Full Time
Padova Calcio
Sun 19 Oct 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Catanzaro vs Padova Calcio — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Simone Galipo (Italy)
17 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 3.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Venezia FC 38 82
2 Frosinone Calcio 38 81
3 AC Monza 38 76
4 Palermo FC 38 72
5 US Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena FC 2018 38 55
7 SS Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Calcio Avellino SSD 38 49
9 Mantova 1911 SSD 38 46
10 Padova Calcio 38 46
11 AC Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Calcio 38 44
13 UC Sampdoria 38 44
14 ACD Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli FC 38 41
16 FC Sudtirol 38 41
17 SSC Bari 38 40
18 AC Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Calcio 38 35
20 Delfino Pescara 1936 38 35

Head-to-Head

1
1
US Catanzaro 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Padova Calcio
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-19 US Catanzaro 0–1 Padova Calcio

Recent Form

US Catanzaro
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Padova Calcio H 0–1 L
04 Oct AC Monza A 1–2 L
01 Oct UC Sampdoria A 0–0 D
26 Sep SS Juve Stabia H 2–2 D
20 Sep AC Reggiana A 2–2 D
13 Sep Carrarese Calcio H 1–1 D
Padova Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct US Catanzaro A 1–0 W
04 Oct SSC Bari A 1–2 L
30 Sep Calcio Avellino SSD H 2–2 D
27 Sep AC Monza A 1–0 W
21 Sep ACD Virtus Entella H 2–1 W
13 Sep Frosinone Calcio H 0–1 L

Season Stats

US Catanzaro Padova Calcio
#5 Position #10
59 Points 46
38 Played 38
15 / 14 / 9 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 16
62 Scored 39
51 Conceded 49
+11 GD -10
1.55 PPG 1.21
39% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
US Catanzaro this season
24% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season

US Catanzaro are 5th (59 pts). Padova Calcio are 10th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

US Catanzaro
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Padova Calcio
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

US Catanzaro Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19 US Catanzaro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Padova Calcio xG
I would bet for: US Catanzaro or Padova Calcio 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
US Catanzaro36% Draw31% Padova Calcio33%
Actual: Padova Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

US Catanzaro or Draw
67%
Draw or Padova Calcio
64%
US Catanzaro or Padova Calcio
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Catanzaro26% Draw51% Padova Calcio23%
Actual: Padova Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — US Catanzaro

Handicap US Catanzaro covers Push Padova Calcio covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

US Catanzaro keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.