Thursday , 2 July 2026

Palermo FC vs SSC Bari, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
2 0
Full Time
Fri 19 Sep 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Palermo FC vs SSC BariSerie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Perenzoni (Italy)
16 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 2.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep SSC Bari H 2–0 W
14 Sep FC Sudtirol A 2–0 W
30 Aug Frosinone Calcio H 0–0 D
23 Aug AC Reggiana H 2–1 W
13 May Carrarese Calcio H 1–1 D
09 May Frosinone Calcio H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Sep Palermo FC A 0–2 L
13 Sep Modena FC 2018 A 0–3 L
31 Aug AC Monza H 1–1 D
24 Aug Venezia FC A 1–2 L
13 May FC Sudtirol A 0–0 D
09 May AS Cittadella A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Palermo FC SSC Bari
#4 Position #17
72 Points 40
38 Played 38
20 / 12 / 6 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 18
61 Scored 38
33 Conceded 60
+28 GD -22
1.89 PPG 1.05
53% Win % 26%

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
45% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season
18% Clean Sheets
SSC Bari this season

Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts). SSC Bari are 17th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SSC Bari
0-15
/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Palermo FC Lineups

SSC Bari Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.51 SSC Bari xG
I would bet for: Palermo FC to win 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Palermo FC69% Draw21% SSC Bari10%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Palermo FC or Draw
90%
Draw or SSC Bari
31%
Palermo FC or SSC Bari
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Palermo FC49% Draw44% SSC Bari7%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
10.2%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8%
3 – 1
5.4%
4 – 0
5%
0 – 1
3.5%
4 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.1%
5 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Palermo FC

Handicap Palermo FC covers Push SSC Bari covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 22% 55%
-1.5 45% 55%
-1 45% 26% 29%
-0.5 71% 29%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
60%
SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.