Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 26 Jan 2025 · 16:15 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 28,382 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 62' Modibo Sagnan
1–2 83' Othmane Maamma

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Benjamin Pages
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre
11 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 7.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–0 D
12 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–2 L
05 Jan Racing Club de Lens A 1–0 W
13 Dec AS Saint-Étienne H 2–1 W
07 Dec AS Monaco FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Toulouse FC A 2–1 W
17 Jan AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
12 Jan Angers SCO H 1–3 L
04 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
15 Dec OGC Nice H 2–2 D
08 Dec Racing Club de Lens A 0–2 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Stadium de Toulouse as Toulouse FC face off against Montpellier HSC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toulouse FC and Montpellier HSC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 7' Another change for Montpellier HSC made on 7 minute. Issiaga Sylla leaves to be changed by Theo Sainte-Luce.
  • 12' Toulouse FC is showing some good football. However, Toulouse FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 17' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rabby Nzingoula.
  • 22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 27' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 32' Zakaria Aboukhlal is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toulouse FC so far.
  • 37' Joris Chotard has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 41' A moment of madness from Joris Chotard on 41 minutes earns him a card. Montpellier HSC will be frustrated.
  • 46' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 47' Jaydee Canvot picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 52' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toulouse FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 59' Against the run of play, Cristian Casseres Jr. has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 60' Othmane Maamma gets the nod from Montpellier HSC. He replaces Wahbi Khazri and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Rabby Nzingoula as he leaves the pitch. Khalil Fayad steps in for Montpellier HSC.
  • 62' Goal! Modibo Sagnan scores his 9 goal in 452 matches.
  • 67' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 69' Toulouse FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shavy Warren Babicka is hanging Joshua King on the field on 69 minute.
  • 74' Montpellier HSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 74.
  • 76' The Toulouse FC bench stirs into life. Denis Genreau is withdrawn and Miha Zajc gets his opportunity.
  • 81' A quiet spell here at Stadium de Toulouse. Montpellier HSC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 83' Montpellier HSC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Othmane Maamma on 83.
  • 85' Frank Magri gets the nod from Toulouse FC. He replaces Aron Donnum and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' The crowd applauds Becir Omeragic as he leaves the pitch. Birama Toure steps in for Montpellier HSC.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Montpellier HSC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC37% Draw29% Montpellier HSC34%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
63%
Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC27% Draw48% Montpellier HSC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.