Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Toulouse FC
1 – 2
Full Time
Montpellier HSC
Sun 26 Jan 2025 · 16:15 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 28,382 HT 45' · FT 45'
Cristian Casseres Jr. 59' 1–0
1–1 62' Modibo Sagnan
1–2 83' Othmane Maamma
Y 17' Rabby Nzingoula
Y 41' Joris Chotard
Jaydee Canvot 47' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Benjamin Pages
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre
16 games this season 🟨 3.1/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 10 23
2 Lille OSC 10 21
3 Paris FC 10 20
4 Olympique de Marseille 10 18
5 Olympique Lyonnais 10 17
6 OGC Nice 10 17
7 AS Monaco FC 10 16
8 Stade Rennais FC 1901 10 16
9 Stade Brestois 29 10 15
10 FC Lorient 10 15
11 Racing Club de Lens 10 13
12 Toulouse FC 10 13
13 RC Strasbourg Alsace 10 10
14 AJ Auxerre 10 10
15 Le Mans FC 10 8
16 Angers SCO 10 8
17 ES Troyes AC 10 8
18 Le Havre AC 10 2

Head-to-Head

5
4
8
Toulouse FC 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Montpellier HSC
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-26 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC 2024-10-27 Montpellier HSC 0–3 Toulouse FC 2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC 2023-10-29 Montpellier HSC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2023-04-09 Montpellier HSC 1–2 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–0 D
12 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–2 L
05 Jan Racing Club de Lens A 1–0 W
13 Dec AS Saint-Étienne H 2–1 W
07 Dec AS Monaco FC A 0–2 L
Montpellier HSC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Toulouse FC A 2–1 W
17 Jan AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
12 Jan Angers SCO H 1–3 L
04 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
15 Dec OGC Nice H 2–2 D
08 Dec Racing Club de Lens A 0–2 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Toulouse FC gets underway.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Othmane Maamma made 426 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 7' Issiaga Sylla makes way for Theo Sainte-Luce at the 7 minute mark. A tactical switch from Montpellier HSC.
  • 12' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 17' Rabby Nzingoula was booked on 17.
  • 22' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 27' Montpellier HSC is showing some good football. However, Montpellier HSC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 37' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 41' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joris Chotard.
  • 46' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 47' Toulouse FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 52' Becir Omeragic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 20 appearances.
  • 57' Enzo Tchato has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 59' Cristian Casseres Jr. puts Toulouse FC on the lead.
  • 60' Othmane Maamma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wahbi Khazri on 60 minute.
  • 61' The Montpellier HSC manager makes a substitution. Rabby Nzingoula departs to be replaced by Khalil Fayad.
  • 62' What a moment for Modibo Sagnan! That strike on 62 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 67' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 69' Toulouse FC ring the changes. Joshua King has done his job and it is now time for Shavy Warren Babicka to step up.
  • 74' Toulouse FC currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 76' Toulouse FC ring the changes. Denis Genreau has done his job and it is now time for Miha Zajc to step up.
  • 81' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 83' The Morocco Othmane Maamma breaks the deadlock on 83 minutes. 1-2!
  • 85' A change in the Toulouse FC ranks — Aron Donnum exits the field as Frank Magri enters on 85.
  • 89' Birama Toure has so much to prove this time. He replaces Becir Omeragic on 89 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Montpellier HSC players.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carles Martínez

Montpellier HSC Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jean-Louis Gasset

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Zakaria Aboukhlal 3
Chaibi Fares 2
Gaetan Laborde 2
Sepe Elye Wahi 2
Thijs Dallinga 2
Akor Adams 2
Khalil Fayad 2
Teji Savanier 2

Head to Head

2025-01-26 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC 2024-10-27 Montpellier HSC 0–3 Toulouse FC 2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC 2023-10-29 Montpellier HSC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2023-04-09 Montpellier HSC 1–2 Toulouse FC

Toulouse FC Form

2025-01-26 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC L 2025-01-18 Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 Toulouse FC D 2025-01-12 Toulouse FC 1–2 RC Strasbourg Alsace L 2025-01-05 Racing Club de Lens 0–1 Toulouse FC W 2024-12-13 Toulouse FC 2–1 AS Saint-Étienne W 2024-12-07 AS Monaco FC 2–0 Toulouse FC L

Montpellier HSC Form

2025-01-26 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC W 2025-01-17 Montpellier HSC 2–1 AS Monaco FC W 2025-01-12 Montpellier HSC 1–3 Angers SCO L 2025-01-04 Olympique Lyonnais 1–0 Montpellier HSC L 2024-12-15 Montpellier HSC 2–2 OGC Nice D 2024-12-08 Racing Club de Lens 2–0 Montpellier HSC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC37% Draw29% Montpellier HSC34%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
63%
Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC27% Draw48% Montpellier HSC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.