Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Toulouse FC
1 – 2
Full Time
Montpellier HSC
Sun 26 Jan 2025 · 16:15 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 28,382 HT 45' · FT 45'
Cristian Casseres Jr. 59' 1–0
1–1 62' Modibo Sagnan
1–2 83' Othmane Maamma
Y 17' Rabby Nzingoula
Y 41' Joris Chotard
Jaydee Canvot 47' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Benjamin Pages
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre
16 games this season 🟨 1.9/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Nantes 34 24
2 FC Metz 34 17
3 Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 0
4 Racing Club de Lens 0 0
5 Lille OSC 0 0
6 Olympique Lyonnais 0 0
7 Olympique de Marseille 0 0
8 Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 0
9 AS Monaco FC 0 0
10 RC Strasbourg Alsace 0 0
11 Toulouse FC 0 0
12 FC Lorient 0 0
13 Paris FC 0 0
14 Stade Brestois 29 0 0
15 ES Troyes AC 0 0
16 Angers SCO 0 0
17 Le Mans FC 0 0
18 Le Havre AC 0 0
19 AJ Auxerre 0 0
20 OGC Nice 0 0

Head-to-Head

5
4
8
Toulouse FC 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Montpellier HSC
Last 5 meetings
2025-01-26 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC 2024-10-27 Montpellier HSC 0–3 Toulouse FC 2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC 2023-10-29 Montpellier HSC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2023-04-09 Montpellier HSC 1–2 Toulouse FC

Recent Form

Toulouse FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–0 D
12 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–2 L
05 Jan Racing Club de Lens A 1–0 W
13 Dec AS Saint-Étienne H 2–1 W
07 Dec AS Monaco FC A 0–2 L
Montpellier HSC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Toulouse FC A 2–1 W
17 Jan AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
12 Jan Angers SCO H 1–3 L
04 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
15 Dec OGC Nice H 2–2 D
08 Dec Racing Club de Lens A 0–2 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Toulouse FC is hosting Montpellier HSC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 7' The Montpellier HSC manager makes a substitution. Issiaga Sylla departs to be replaced by Theo Sainte-Luce.
  • 12' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gabriel Suazo made 420 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 17' Rabby Nzingoula was booked on 17.
  • 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Montpellier HSC that had 417 games and scored 379 goals.
  • 27' Toulouse FC is showing some good football. However, Toulouse FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 32' Montpellier HSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Montpellier HSC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 41' That looks like a foul for a card for Joris Chotard.
  • 46' Rabby Nzingoula needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 47' Jaydee Canvot was booked on 47.
  • 52' Toulouse FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 59' Goal! Cristian Casseres Jr. scores his 11 goal in 283 matches.
  • 60' Another substitution for Montpellier HSC to replace Wahbi Khazri by Othmane Maamma on 60 minute.
  • 61' The whistle greets Rabby Nzingoula as he departs to be replaced by Khalil Fayad.
  • 62' Goal! Modibo Sagnan scores his 9 goal in 446 matches.
  • 67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 69' Shavy Warren Babicka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joshua King on 69 minute.
  • 74' It’s high time Carles Martínez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 76' Miha Zajc has so much to prove this time. He replaces Denis Genreau on 76 minute.
  • 81' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 83' Othmane Maamma puts Montpellier HSC on the lead.
  • 85' Another substitution for Toulouse FC to replace Aron Donnum by Frank Magri on 85 minute.
  • 89' Another substitution for Montpellier HSC to replace Becir Omeragic by Birama Toure on 89 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Carles Martínez

Montpellier HSC Lineups

4-3-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jean-Louis Gasset

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Zakaria Aboukhlal 3
Teji Savanier 2
Chaibi Fares 2
Gaetan Laborde 2
Sepe Elye Wahi 2
Thijs Dallinga 2
Akor Adams 2
Khalil Fayad 2

Head to Head

2025-01-26 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC 2024-10-27 Montpellier HSC 0–3 Toulouse FC 2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC 2023-10-29 Montpellier HSC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2023-04-09 Montpellier HSC 1–2 Toulouse FC

Toulouse FC Form

2025-01-26 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC L 2025-01-18 Olympique Lyonnais 0–0 Toulouse FC D 2025-01-12 Toulouse FC 1–2 RC Strasbourg Alsace L 2025-01-05 Racing Club de Lens 0–1 Toulouse FC W 2024-12-13 Toulouse FC 2–1 AS Saint-Étienne W 2024-12-07 AS Monaco FC 2–0 Toulouse FC L

Montpellier HSC Form

2025-01-26 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC W 2025-01-17 Montpellier HSC 2–1 AS Monaco FC W 2025-01-12 Montpellier HSC 1–3 Angers SCO L 2025-01-04 Olympique Lyonnais 1–0 Montpellier HSC L 2024-12-15 Montpellier HSC 2–2 OGC Nice D 2024-12-08 Racing Club de Lens 2–0 Montpellier HSC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC37% Draw29% Montpellier HSC34%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
63%
Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC27% Draw48% Montpellier HSC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.