Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 26 Jan 2025 · 16:15 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 28,382 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 62' Modibo Sagnan
1–2 83' Othmane Maamma

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Montpellier HSCLigue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Clement Turpin
  • Assistant 1 Benjamin Pages
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre
16 games this season 🟨 1.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–0 D
12 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–2 L
05 Jan Racing Club de Lens A 1–0 W
13 Dec AS Saint-Étienne H 2–1 W
07 Dec AS Monaco FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Jan Toulouse FC A 2–1 W
17 Jan AS Monaco FC H 2–1 W
12 Jan Angers SCO H 1–3 L
04 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
15 Dec OGC Nice H 2–2 D
08 Dec Racing Club de Lens A 0–2 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Toulouse FC and Montpellier HSC is underway.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carles Martínez might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 7' Montpellier HSC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Theo Sainte-Luce is hanging Issiaga Sylla on the field on 7 minute.
  • 12' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jaydee Canvot suffering a number of foals already.
  • 17' Montpellier HSC receives a card for a hard tackle on 17.
  • 22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Montpellier HSC that had 417 games and scored 379 goals.
  • 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Toulouse FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Joris Chotard. He receives a card.
  • 46' The 34-year-old Teji Savanier has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 47' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jaydee Canvot on 47 minutes.
  • 52' Toulouse FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 57' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 59' What a moment for Cristian Casseres Jr.! That strike on 59 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 60' Othmane Maamma has so much to prove this time. He replaces Wahbi Khazri on 60 minute.
  • 61' Montpellier HSC ring the changes. Rabby Nzingoula has done his job and it is now time for Khalil Fayad to step up.
  • 62' Brilliant from the ! Modibo Sagnan makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 62.
  • 67' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toulouse FC and Montpellier HSC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 69' Joshua King makes way for Shavy Warren Babicka at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toulouse FC.
  • 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 76' Miha Zajc is replacing Denis Genreau for the Toulouse FC side.
  • 81' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toulouse FC and Montpellier HSC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 83' A goal from the Morocco international Othmane Maamma! He fires home on 83 to make it 1-2!
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Frank Magri. He replaces Aron Donnum on 85 minute.
  • 89' Becir Omeragic makes way for Birama Toure at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Montpellier HSC.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC37% Draw29% Montpellier HSC34%
Actual: Montpellier HSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
63%
Toulouse FC or Montpellier HSC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC27% Draw48% Montpellier HSC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.