Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 17:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FCMLS at BMO Field.

Match Details

  • Referee Ismail Elfath
12 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 6.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Atlanta United FC H 1–2 L
22 Apr Philadelphia Union H 3–3 D
18 Apr Austin FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr FC Cincinnati H 1–1 D
04 Apr Colorado Rapids SC H 3–2 W
21 Mar Columbus Crew SC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Toronto FC A 2–1 W
22 Apr New England Revolution H 1–2 L
18 Apr Nashville SC H 0–2 L
12 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 0–1 L
04 Apr Columbus Crew SC H 1–3 L
21 Mar D.C. United SC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Toronto FC Atlanta United FC
#12 Position #15
17 Points 12
18 Played 18
3 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 12
24 Scored 19
32 Conceded 33
-8 GD -14
0.94 PPG 0.67
17% Win % 17%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC42% Draw27% Atlanta United FC31%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
58%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC31% Draw45% Atlanta United FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.