Friday , 9 October 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SG Dynamo Dresden, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 24 Apr 2026 · 16:30 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf vs SG Dynamo Dresden — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tom Bauer
4 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 18.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr SG Dynamo Dresden H 3–1 W
18 Apr 1. FC Magdeburg A 0–2 L
10 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–2 L
04 Apr 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 0–3 L
22 Mar Hertha BSC H 2–5 L
14 Mar Eintracht Braunschweig A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 1–3 L
18 Apr VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
11 Apr 1. FC Nürnberg A 2–0 W
04 Apr Hertha BSC H 0–1 L
21 Mar SC Paderborn 07 A 1–2 L
15 Mar SC Preußen Münster H 6–0 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
SG Dynamo Dresden this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SG Dynamo Dresden
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SG Dynamo Dresden
Jonas Sterner 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf gets underway.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' SG Dynamo Dresden are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 11' A stunning finish from Cedric Itten — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 16' Sotiris Alexandropoulos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 17' A stunning finish from Emmanuel Iyoha — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 22' A quiet spell here at Merkur Spiel-Arena. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 27' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SG Dynamo Dresden backline.
  • 32' With 1 assists to his name this season, Marin Ljubicic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SG Dynamo Dresden.
  • 37' Ben Bobzien has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' Luca Raimund is replacing Christopher Lenz for the TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf side.
  • 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 58' Luca Raimund makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are in front.
  • 62' Another substitution for SG Dynamo Dresden to replace Jason Ceka by Jakob Lemmer on 62 minute.
  • 63' The SG Dynamo Dresden manager makes a substitution. Kofi Amoako departs to be replaced by Luca Herrmann.
  • 64' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf make a change. Matthias Zimmermann trudges off to be replaced by Jesper Daland on 64 minutes.
  • 69' The 25-year-old Anouar El Azzouzi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 73' A change in the SG Dynamo Dresden ranks — Niklas Hauptmann exits the field as Stefan Kutschke enters on 73.
  • 78' SG Dynamo Dresden make a change. Vincent Vermeij trudges off to be replaced by Christoph Daferner on 78 minutes.
  • 83' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matthias Zimmermann suffering a number of foals already.
  • 88' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf that had 303 games and scored 272 goals.
  • 90' Against the run of play, Jakob Lemmer has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 SG Dynamo Dresden xG
I would bet for: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or SG Dynamo Dresden 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf40% Draw27% SG Dynamo Dresden33%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or Draw
67%
Draw or SG Dynamo Dresden
60%
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf or SG Dynamo Dresden
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf29% Draw45% SG Dynamo Dresden26%
Actual: TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf covers Push SG Dynamo Dresden covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 19% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 18% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
SG Dynamo Dresden keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.