Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sydney FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 18 Jan 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sydney FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Casey Reibelt
  • Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC H 0–2 L
10 Jan Macarthur FC A 3–0 W
03 Jan Melbourne City FC A 0–0 D
20 Dec Newcastle United Jets FC A 0–2 L
13 Dec Perth Glory FC A 1–0 W
06 Dec Central Coast Mariners FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Sydney FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#5 Position #8
39 Points 33
26 Played 26
11 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
33 Scored 36
25 Conceded 48
+8 GD -12
1.50 PPG 1.27
42% Win % 35%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sydney FC Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.36 Sydney FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Sydney FC or Wellington Phoenix FC 71% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sydney FC37% Draw29% Wellington Phoenix FC34%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Sydney FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
63%
Sydney FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sydney FC27% Draw47% Wellington Phoenix FC26%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sydney FC

Handicap Sydney FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.