Thursday , 2 July 2026

Switzerland vs Italy, European Championship 2024 LAST 16

2 0
Full Time
Sat 29 Jun 2024 · 16:00 UTC Olympiastadion 68,172 HT 45' · FT 45'
Remo Freuler 37' 1–0
Ruben Vargas 46' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Switzerland vs ItalyEuropean Championship at Olympiastadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Szymon Marciniak
  • Assistant 1 Tomasz Listkiewicz
  • Assistant 2
15 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.2 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Switzerland 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Italy

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jun Italy H 2–0 W
23 Jun Germany H 1–1 D
19 Jun Scotland A 1–1 D
15 Jun Hungary A 3–1 W
06 Dec Portugal A 1–6 L
02 Dec Serbia A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jun Switzerland A 0–2 L
24 Jun Croatia A 1–1 D
20 Jun Spain A 0–1 L
15 Jun Albania H 2–1 W
11 Jul England H 4–3 W
06 Jul Spain H 5–3 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Switzerland this season
0% Clean Sheets
Italy this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Switzerland
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/
31-45
2/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Switzerland to score. At the same time, Italy does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Ruben Vargas has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 10' It’s high time Luciano Spalletti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nicolo Barella, as he is very good at scoring at Olympiastadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Italy needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Switzerland is showing some good football. However, Switzerland are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' Nicolo Barella is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
  • 37' Remo Freuler puts Switzerland on the lead.
  • 42' Italy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Stephan El Shaarawy.
  • 46' What a strike from Ruben Vargas! The score is 2-0.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Italy team. Stephan El Shaarawy is replaced by Mattia Zaccagni on 46 minute.
  • 51' Switzerland looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Ruben Vargas scoring 1 goals.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Switzerland is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' It’s gonna be a card for Gianluca Mancini.
  • 62' It looks surprising Italy does not make any changes. Bryan Cristante has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 64' The Italy manager makes a substitution. Nicolo Barella departs to be replaced by Mateo Retegui.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gianluca Scamacca made 232 appearances and scored 54 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Switzerland. Ruben Vargas is replaced by Steven Zuber.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Leonidas Stergiou. He replaces Fabian Rieder on 72 minute.
  • 75' Time for substitution for Italy. Bryan Cristante is replaced by Lorenzo Pellegrini.
  • 77' The Switzerland manager makes a substitution. Dan Ndoye departs to be replaced by Vincent Sierro.
  • 82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 86' It is a substitution in Italy team. Nicolo Fagioli is replaced by Davide Frattesi on 86 minute.
  • 90' Renato Steffen is replacing Michel Aebischer for the Switzerland side.
  • The final score is 2-0.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32 Switzerland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Italy xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Switzerland47% Draw29% Italy24%
Actual: Switzerland win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Switzerland or Draw
75%
Draw or Italy
53%
Switzerland or Italy
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Switzerland30% Draw51% Italy19%
Actual: Switzerland win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Switzerland

Handicap Switzerland covers Push Italy covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Switzerland keeps clean sheet
39%
Italy keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.