Thursday , 2 July 2026

Swansea City AFC vs Plymouth Argyle FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 9 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Swansea.com Stadium 14,978 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lewis O'Brien 4' 1–0
Harry Darling 22' 2–0
Josh Key 35' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Swansea City AFC vs Plymouth Argyle FCChampionship at Swansea.com Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephen Martin (England)
  • Assistant 1 Mark Dwyer
  • Assistant 2 Carl Fitch-Jackson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr Plymouth Argyle FC H 3–0 W
05 Apr Derby County FC H 1–0 W
29 Mar Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
15 Mar Burnley FC H 0–2 L
12 Mar Watford FC A 0–1 L
08 Mar Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Apr Swansea City AFC A 0–3 L
05 Apr Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
29 Mar Watford FC A 0–0 D
15 Mar Derby County FC H 2–3 L
12 Mar Portsmouth FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 0–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Swansea.com Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 4' Goal! Lewis O'Brien scores his 15 goal in 114 matches.
  • 9' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 14' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 19' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 19 minutes.
  • 21' Adam Randell was booked on 21.
  • 22' Goal! Harry Darling scores his 21 goal in 191 matches.
  • 27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 32' Plymouth Argyle FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 35' What a strike from Josh Key! The score is 3-0.
  • 40' Michael Obafemi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 53 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 45' It’s high time Luke Williams made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' Another substitution for Plymouth Argyle FC to replace Michael Obafemi by Callum Wright on 46 minute.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Plymouth Argyle FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kornel Szucs suffering a number of foals already.
  • 63' Swansea City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jay Fulton is hanging Joe Allen on the field on 63 minute.
  • 65' The Plymouth Argyle FC manager makes a substitution. Ryan Hardie departs to be replaced by Freddie Issaka.
  • 70' The travelling Plymouth Argyle FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 72' Plymouth Argyle FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 72.
  • 76' Swansea City AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Florian Bianchini is hanging Ronald on the field on 76 minute.
  • 78' Another substitution for Plymouth Argyle FC to replace Julio Pleguezuelo by Victor Palsson on 78 minute.
  • 82' Kyle Naughton is replacing Josh Key for the Swansea City AFC side.
  • 87' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.53 Swansea City AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82 Plymouth Argyle FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Swansea City AFC54% Draw27% Plymouth Argyle FC19%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Swansea City AFC or Draw
81%
Draw or Plymouth Argyle FC
46%
Swansea City AFC or Plymouth Argyle FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Swansea City AFC36% Draw49% Plymouth Argyle FC15%
Actual: Swansea City AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
10.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Swansea City AFC

Handicap Swansea City AFC covers Push Plymouth Argyle FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
44%
Plymouth Argyle FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.