Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Stadium of Light 15,774 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 4' Thomas Cannon pen
Milan Aleksic 64' 1–1
1–2 112' Niall Ennis

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Stoke City FC — FA Cup at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 17.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
05 Jan Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–2 D
21 Dec Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Sunderland AFC A 2–1 W
04 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
01 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
29 Dec Sunderland AFC H 1–0 W
26 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–2 L
21 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–2 L

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Sunderland AFC launch into their encounter with Stoke City FC.
  • 4' Thomas Cannon makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Stoke City FC are in front.
  • 9' Chris Rigg has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 14' Eliezer Mayenda has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 19' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 23' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Chris Rigg.
  • 28' Stoke City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 28.
  • 33' Stoke City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 43' Sunderland AFC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 48' Sunderland AFC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Stoke City FC backline.
  • 53' Stoke City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 58' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 59' Zak Johnson is replacing Aji Alese for the Sunderland AFC side.
  • 60' A change in the Sunderland AFC ranks — Chris Rigg exits the field as Milan Aleksic enters on 60.
  • 63' The referee shows Stoke City FC player a card on 63.
  • 64' The Serbia central midfielder Milan Aleksic breaks the deadlock on 64 minutes. 1-1!
  • 69' Sunderland AFC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 72' Andrew Moran is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
  • 75' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joon-ho Bae is hanging Lewis Koumas on the field on 75 minute.
  • 76' Stoke City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Niall Ennis is hanging Thomas Cannon on the field on 76 minute.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Sunderland AFC. Harrison Jones is replaced by Salis Abdul Samed.
  • 84' Luke O'Nien is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Stoke City FC so far.
  • 89' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.29 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC38% Draw30% Stoke City FC32%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
68%
Draw or Stoke City FC
62%
Sunderland AFC or Stoke City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC28% Draw50% Stoke City FC22%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
10.4%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.