Thursday , 2 July 2026

Stoke City FC vs Stevenage FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2022-23
Stoke City FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Stevenage FC
Sun 29 Jan 2023 · 14:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
William Smallbone 51' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Stevenage FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
Stoke City FC 1 games · Avg 4.0 goals Stevenage FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-01-29 Stoke City FC 3–1 Stevenage FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Stevenage FC H 3–1 W
21 Jan Reading FC H 4–0 W
14 Jan Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L
08 Jan Hartlepool United FC A 3–0 W
02 Jan Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
30 Dec Burnley FC H 0–1 L
Stevenage FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Stoke City FC A 1–3 L
08 Jan Aston Villa FC A 2–1 W
26 Nov King's Lynn Town FC A 3–0 W
05 Nov Gateshead FC A 3–2 W
06 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 2–2 D
09 Jan Swansea City AFC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Stoke City FC and Stevenage FC has kicked off!
  • 3' What a strike from Jacob Brown! The score is 1-0.
  • 8' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Stevenage FC that had 156 games and scored 133 goals.
  • 13' Stevenage FC is showing some good football. However, Stevenage FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 17' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. Connor Taylor is replaced by Phil Jagielka.
  • 18' It is a substitution in Stevenage FC team. Jordan Roberts is replaced by Dean Campbell on 18 minute.
  • 23' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stevenage FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' It looks like no one’s ball. Stoke City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 43' Another substitution for Stevenage FC to replace Terence Vancooten by Jake Taylor on 43 minute.
  • 46' It is a substitution in Stevenage FC team. Max Clark is replaced by Jonathan Tomkinson on 46 minute.
  • 51' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for William Smallbone.
  • 56' Stevenage FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kane Smith is hanging Alex Gilbey on the field on 56 minute.
  • 61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Danny Rose suffering a number of foals already.
  • 62' Lewis Baker is replacing William Smallbone for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 71' Goal! Jamie Reid scores his 35 goal in 11 matches.
  • 74' Joshua Laurent puts Stoke City FC on the lead.
  • 78' Morgan Fox has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tyrese Campbell on 78 minute.
  • 80' What a strike from Lewis Baker! The score is 3-1.
  • 85' Stoke City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alex Neil

Stevenage FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Steve Evans

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC52% Draw25% Stevenage FC23%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Stevenage FC
48%
Stoke City FC or Stevenage FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC38% Draw43% Stevenage FC19%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Stevenage FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.