Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hartlepool United FC vs Stoke City FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sun 8 Jan 2023 · 14:00 UTC Victoria Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hartlepool United FC vs Stoke City FCFA Cup at Victoria Park.

Head-to-Head

1
Hartlepool United FC 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Stoke City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Stoke City FC H 0–3 L
15 Nov Solihull Moors FC H 5–4 W
05 Nov Solihull Moors FC A 2–2 D
05 Feb Crystal Palace FC A 0–2 L
06 Nov Wycombe Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
07 Nov Salford City FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Hartlepool United FC A 3–0 W
02 Jan Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
30 Dec Burnley FC H 0–1 L
26 Dec Rotherham United FC A 2–2 D
17 Dec Bristol City FC A 2–1 W
10 Dec Cardiff City FC H 2–2 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 Hartlepool United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hartlepool United FC25% Draw25% Stoke City FC50%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Hartlepool United FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Stoke City FC
75%
Hartlepool United FC or Stoke City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hartlepool United FC17% Draw42% Stoke City FC41%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.6%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 3
6.4%
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.7%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Hartlepool United FC

Handicap Hartlepool United FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 22% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Hartlepool United FC keeps clean sheet
14%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.