Thursday , 1 October 2026

Stoke City FC vs Stevenage FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2022-23
Stoke City FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Stevenage FC
Sun 29 Jan 2023 · 14:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
William Smallbone 51' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Stevenage FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
Stoke City FC 1 games · Avg 4.0 goals Stevenage FC
Last 5 meetings
2023-01-29 Stoke City FC 3–1 Stevenage FC

Recent Form

Stoke City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Stevenage FC H 3–1 W
21 Jan Reading FC H 4–0 W
14 Jan Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L
08 Jan Hartlepool United FC A 3–0 W
02 Jan Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
30 Dec Burnley FC H 0–1 L
Stevenage FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Stoke City FC A 1–3 L
08 Jan Aston Villa FC A 2–1 W
26 Nov King's Lynn Town FC A 3–0 W
05 Nov Gateshead FC A 3–2 W
06 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 2–2 D
09 Jan Swansea City AFC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Stoke City FC vs Stevenage FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 3' Brilliant from the forward! Jacob Brown makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 3.
  • 8' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 13' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Stoke City FC and Stevenage FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 17' The supporters are chanting for Phil Jagielka. He replaces Connor Taylor on 17 minute.
  • 18' Stevenage FC make a change. Jordan Roberts trudges off to be replaced by Dean Campbell on 18 minutes.
  • 23' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 23 minutes.
  • 28' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Max Clark suffering a number of foals already.
  • 43' The Stevenage FC manager makes a substitution. Terence Vancooten departs to be replaced by Jake Taylor.
  • 46' A change in the Stevenage FC ranks — Max Clark exits the field as Jonathan Tomkinson enters on 46.
  • 51' The referee has no hesitation. William Smallbone is booked for Stoke City FC — Yellow card on 51.
  • 56' The whistle greets Alex Gilbey as he departs to be replaced by Kane Smith.
  • 61' Dean Campbell needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 62' Lewis Baker is ready to make an impact after coming on for William Smallbone at the 62 minute mark.
  • 67' Stevenage FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 71' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamie Reid makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 74' Magnificent from Joshua Laurent! That is 17 goals in 329 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 78' Stoke City FC make a change. Tyrese Campbell trudges off to be replaced by Morgan Fox on 78 minutes.
  • 80' A goal from the England international Lewis Baker! He fires home on 80 to make it 3-1!
  • 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stevenage FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 90' Stoke City FC have won 413 goals from 388 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alex Neil

Stevenage FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Steve Evans

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC52% Draw25% Stevenage FC23%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Stevenage FC
48%
Stoke City FC or Stevenage FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC38% Draw43% Stevenage FC19%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Stevenage FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.