Sunday , 15 November 2026

Stoke City FC vs Stevenage FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sun 29 Jan 2023 · 14:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Stevenage FC — FA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
Stoke City FC 1 games · Avg 4.0 goals Stevenage FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Stevenage FC H 3–1 W
21 Jan Reading FC H 4–0 W
14 Jan Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L
08 Jan Hartlepool United FC A 3–0 W
02 Jan Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
30 Dec Burnley FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Stoke City FC A 1–3 L
08 Jan Aston Villa FC A 2–1 W
26 Nov King's Lynn Town FC A 3–0 W
05 Nov Gateshead FC A 3–2 W
06 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 2–2 D
09 Jan Swansea City AFC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stevenage FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Bet365 Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 3' Jacob Brown adds to his 4 season tally! Stoke City FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 8' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 13' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 17' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Connor Taylor is withdrawn and Phil Jagielka gets his opportunity.
  • 18' The whistle greets Jordan Roberts as he departs to be replaced by Dean Campbell.
  • 23' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 28' Stevenage FC is showing some good football. However, Stevenage FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 33' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 43' Fresh legs for Stevenage FC! Jake Taylor comes on to replace Terence Vancooten.
  • 46' Stevenage FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jonathan Tomkinson is hanging Max Clark on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' William Smallbone picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 56' A change in the Stevenage FC ranks — Alex Gilbey exits the field as Kane Smith enters on 56.
  • 61' It looks surprising Stevenage FC does not make any changes. Bersant Celina has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' Fresh legs for Stoke City FC! Lewis Baker comes on to replace William Smallbone.
  • 67' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 71' What a strike from Jamie Reid! The score is 1-1.
  • 74' Against the run of play, Joshua Laurent has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 78' The Stoke City FC bench stirs into life. Tyrese Campbell is withdrawn and Morgan Fox gets his opportunity.
  • 80' GOAL! Lewis Baker scores on 80.
  • 85' It is a cagey affair so far. Stoke City FC in their trying to find a way past Stevenage FC's compact .
  • 90' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Stoke City FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC52% Draw25% Stevenage FC23%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Stevenage FC
48%
Stoke City FC or Stevenage FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC38% Draw43% Stevenage FC19%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Stevenage FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.