Sunday , 16 August 2026

Stoke City FC vs Stevenage FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sun 29 Jan 2023 · 14:00 UTC Bet365 Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Stoke City FC vs Stevenage FCFA Cup at Bet365 Stadium.

Head-to-Head

1
Stoke City FC 1 games · Avg 4.0 goals Stevenage FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Stevenage FC H 3–1 W
21 Jan Reading FC H 4–0 W
14 Jan Sheffield United FC A 1–3 L
08 Jan Hartlepool United FC A 3–0 W
02 Jan Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
30 Dec Burnley FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jan Stoke City FC A 1–3 L
08 Jan Aston Villa FC A 2–1 W
26 Nov King's Lynn Town FC A 3–0 W
05 Nov Gateshead FC A 3–2 W
06 Nov Milton Keynes Dons FC A 2–2 D
09 Jan Swansea City AFC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Stevenage FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Stoke City FC launch into their encounter with Stevenage FC.
  • 3' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jacob Brown makes it 1-0.
  • 8' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 13' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joshua Laurent made 329 appearances and scored 17 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 17' Phil Jagielka is replacing Connor Taylor for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 18' A tactical swap from Stevenage FCDean Campbell on, Jordan Roberts off on 18 minutes.
  • 23' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 28' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 33' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 38' The travelling Stevenage FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 43' Stevenage FC make a change. Terence Vancooten trudges off to be replaced by Jake Taylor on 43 minutes.
  • 46' Stevenage FC ring the changes. Max Clark has done his job and it is now time for Jonathan Tomkinson to step up.
  • 51' It’s a booking for Stoke City FC player. William Smallbone gets a Yellow card.
  • 56' Stevenage FC ring the changes. Alex Gilbey has done his job and it is now time for Kane Smith to step up.
  • 61' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Stoke City FC. William Smallbone is replaced by Lewis Baker.
  • 67' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Steve Evans will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 71' Goal! Jamie Reid scores his 35 goal in 11 matches.
  • 74' GOAL! Joshua Laurent fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 78' Morgan Fox is replacing Tyrese Campbell for the Stoke City FC side.
  • 80' A goal from the England international Lewis Baker! He fires home on 80 to make it 3-1!
  • 85' Stoke City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 90' Tyrese Campbell has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 14 cards already picked up this season.
  • 3-1 the final result. Stevenage FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87 Stoke City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Stevenage FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Stoke City FC52% Draw25% Stevenage FC23%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Stoke City FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Stevenage FC
48%
Stoke City FC or Stevenage FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Stoke City FC38% Draw43% Stevenage FC19%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 0
6.4%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Stoke City FC

Handicap Stoke City FC covers Push Stevenage FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Stevenage FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.