Oxford United FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Oxford United FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship .
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
- Stoke City FC 7 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Leigh Doughty
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United FC | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea City AFC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough FC | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic FC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Birmingham City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Stoke City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Bristol City FC | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Norwich City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | Millwall FC | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 5 | 8 |
| 15 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Lincoln City FC | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 6 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham AFC | 7 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 7 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | Stoke City FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Nov | Millwall FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Oct | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | Wrexham AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Watford FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov | Oxford United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Nov | Bristol City FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Millwall FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Wrexham AFC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season
Stoke City FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Stoke City FC
| Ethan Galbraith | 4 G | |
| Justin Devenny | 2 G | |
| Eric Bocat | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Oxford United FC welcome Stoke City FC for this crunch clash at .
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Stoke City FC take all three points.
Lineups
Oxford United FC Lineups
Stoke City FC Lineups
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.96
Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for:
Stoke City FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Stoke City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Oxford United FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Stoke City FC
71%
Oxford United FC or Stoke City FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Stoke City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.9%
0 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC
| Handicap | Oxford United FC covers | Push | Stoke City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 17% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 13% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

