Oxford United FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Oxford United FC

0 – 3

Full Time

Stoke City FC

Tue 4 Nov 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Oxford United FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship .

Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Stoke City FC 46 games · 55 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Leigh Doughty

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Oxford United FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Stoke City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-04 Oxford United FC 0–3 Stoke City FC 2025-01-25 Stoke City FC 0–0 Oxford United FC 2024-09-14 Oxford United FC 1–0 Stoke City FC

Recent Form

Oxford United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Stoke City FC	H	0–3	L
01 Nov	Millwall FC	H	2–2	D
25 Oct	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	2–1	W
22 Oct	Wrexham AFC	A	0–1	L
18 Oct	Derby County FC	H	1–0	W
04 Oct	Watford FC	A	1–2	L

Stoke City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Nov	Oxford United FC	A	3–0	W
01 Nov	Bristol City FC	H	5–1	W
25 Oct	Portsmouth FC	A	1–0	W
21 Oct	Millwall FC	A	0–2	L
18 Oct	Wrexham AFC	H	1–0	W
04 Oct	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Oxford United FC		Stoke City FC
#22	Position	#17
47	Points	55
46	Played	46
11 / 14 / 21	W / D / L	15 / 10 / 21
45	Scored	51
59	Conceded	56
-14	GD	-5
1.02	PPG	1.20
24%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts). Stoke City FC are 17th (55 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Oxford United FC and Stoke City FC.
With this win, Stoke City FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Idris El Mizouni	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.84 Oxford United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.27 Stoke City FC xG

I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Oxford United FC26% Draw31% Stoke City FC43%

Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.11

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw

58%

Draw or Stoke City FC

74%

Oxford United FC or Stoke City FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Oxford United FC17% Draw53% Stoke City FC30%

Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14.4%

0 – 1

14.1%

1 – 1

13.8%

0 – 2

9.4%

1 – 0

8.9%

1 – 2

2 – 1

5.2%

2 – 0

4.1%

0 – 3

Actual

2 – 2

3.5%

1 – 3

3.5%

2 – 3

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap	Oxford United FC covers	Push	Stoke City FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	15%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	24%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	13%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet

44% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.