Saturday , 12 September 2026

Oxford United FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 4 Nov 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Stoke City FC H 0–3 L
01 Nov Millwall FC H 2–2 D
25 Oct Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–1 W
22 Oct Wrexham AFC A 0–1 L
18 Oct Derby County FC H 1–0 W
04 Oct Watford FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Oxford United FC A 3–0 W
01 Nov Bristol City FC H 5–1 W
25 Oct Portsmouth FC A 1–0 W
21 Oct Millwall FC A 0–2 L
18 Oct Wrexham AFC H 1–0 W
04 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/
46-60
1/1
61-75
/2
76+
/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G
Justin Devenny 2 G
Eric Bocat 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Stoke City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.96 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Stoke City FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Oxford United FC29% Draw31% Stoke City FC40%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Stoke City FC
71%
Oxford United FC or Stoke City FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC19% Draw51% Stoke City FC30%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.9%
0 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 17% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 23% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.